On the basis of an overall analysis and review of China’s fertilizer market in 2012, and combining the national economy situation and the policy change, BOABC will make an in-depth analysis of the trend of China’s fertilizer market in 2013 and provide a clear judgment for people at home and abroad who focus on China’s fertilizer market as a reference for their decision-making.

Chapter I Macro-economy and Development of Fertilizer Industry

1.1 Macro-economic Condition and Fertilizer Industry Planning
1.1.1 Macro-economic Conditions in 2012 and the Prospect of Development Trend in 2013
1.1.2 Implementation and Completion of Main Objectives of National Economy Planning
1.1.3 Implementation and Completion of Main Objectives of Agricultural Development Planning
1.1.4 Implementation and Completion of Main Objectives of Chemical Industry
1.1.5 Implementation and Completion of Main Objectives of Fertilizer Industry
 
1.2 Changes of Agricultural Policies and Its Impact on Fertilizer Industry
1.2.1 Impact of Agricultural Product Procurement Policy on Fertilizer Demand
1.2.2 Impact of Agricultural Subsidy Policy on Fertilizer Demand
1.2.3 Impact of Other Agricultural Policies on Fertilizer Industry
 
1.3 Impact of Resource Policies and Resource Industry Development on Fertilizer Production
1.3.1 Impact of Coal Price Marketization on Fertilizer Production
1.3.2 Impact of Natural Gas Marketization Process on Fertilizer Production
1.3.3 Change of Mineral Resources Policies and Its Impact on Fertilizer Production
 
1.4 Impact of Oil Price Change on Fertilizer Logistics and Production Cost
 
1.5 Status Quo of Preferential Policies for Fertilizer Industry and Change Trend
 
1.6 Investment Situation of China’s Fertilizer Industry
1.6.1 Investment Situation of Fertilizer Industry
1.6.2 Investment Situation of Nitrogen Fertilizer Industry
1.6.3 Investment Situation of Phosphate Fertilizer Industry
1.6.4 Investment Situation of Potash Fertilizer Industry
1.6.5 Investment Situation of Compound Fertilizer Industry
1.6.6 Investment Situation of Organic Fertilizer Industry
 
1.7 Analysis of the Competitiveness of Fertilizer Industry
1.7.1 Analysis of the Overall Competitiveness of Fertilizer Industry
1.7.2 Analysis of the Competitiveness of Nitrogen Fertilizer Industry
1.7.3 Analysis of the Competitiveness of Phosphate Fertilizer Industry
1.7.4 Analysis of the Competitiveness of Potash Fertilizer Industry
1.7.5 Analysis of the Competitiveness of Compound Fertilizer Industry
1.7.6 Analysis of the Competitiveness of Organic Fertilizer Industry
 
1.8 Change of Fertilizer Industry Structure
 
1.9 Analysis of Fertilizer Circulation
1.9.1 Development of Diversification Pattern of Fertilizer Circulation System
1.9.2 Development Situation of Agricultural Chain Operation
1.9.3 Construction of Domestic Marketing Network of Sinofert Holding Limited
1.9.4 Construction of Marketing Network of Sino-agri Group
 

Chapter II Review and Prospect of Fertilizer Market in 2012-2013

2.1 Review of Fertilizer Market in 2012
2.1.1 Analysis of the Prosperity of Fertilizer Industry in 2012
2.1.2 Analysis of Fertilizer Market Trend in 2012
2.1.3 Impact of International Fertilizer Market on China’s Fertilizer Market in 2012
2.1.4 Impact of Export Tariff Policy Change on Fertilizer Market in 2012
2.1.5 Impact of Soil Testing and Formulated Fertilization Project on Fertilizer Market in 2012
2.1.6 Analysis of Fertilizer-Input/Grain-Output of Crop Cultivation Industry in 2012
2.1.7 Fertilizer Production in 2012
2.1.8 Import and Export of Fertilizer in 2012
2.1.9 Fertilizer Consumption in 2012
2.1.10 Price Trend in Fertilizer Market in 2012
 
2.2 Prospect of Fertilizer Market in 2013
2.2.1Prediction of Fertilizer Market Trend in 2013
2.2.2 Prediction of Input/Output of Crop Cultivation in 2013
2.2.3 Import Quotas and Import Agents of Fertilizer in2013
2.2.4 Prospect of the Changes of Import & Export Tax Rate in 2013 and Its Impact on Fertilizer Market
2.2.5 Trend of Policy for Fertilizer Market in 2013
2.2.5.1 Industry and Investment Policy
2.2.5.2 Taxation and Subsidy Policy
2.2.5.3 Policy for Reserve in Slack Season
2.2.5.4 Policy for Industry Access
2.2.6 Prediction of Fertilizer Output in 2013
2.2.7 Prediction of Fertilizer Export & Import in 2013
2.2.8 Prediction of Fertilizer Consumption in 2013
 

Chapter III Review and Prospect of Nitrogen Fertilizer Market in 2012-2013

3.1 Review of Nitrogen Fertilizer Market in 2012
3.1.1 Analysis of Prosperity of Nitrogen Fertilizer Industry in 2012
3.1.2 Cost and Profit of Nitrogen Fertilizer Industry in 2012
3.1.3 Analysis of Nitrogen Fertilizer Market in 2012
3.1.4 Output of Nitrogen Fertilizer in 2012
3.1.5 Import & Export of Nitrogen Fertilizer in 2012
3.1.6 Consumption of Nitrogen Fertilizer in 2012
3.1.7 Review of Urea Market in 2012
3.1.7.1 Analysis of China’s Urea Market in 2012
3.1.7.2 Output of Urea in 2012
3.1.7.3 Consumption of Urea in 2012
3.1.7.4 Impact of Urea Price/ Grain Price on Urea Consumption
3.1.7.5 Price Trend of Urea in 2012
3.1.7.6 Position of Urea in Nitrogen Fertilizer Industry Structure
3.1.8 Review of ABC Market in 2012
3.1.8.1 Output of ABC in 2012
3.1.8.2 Consumption of ABC in 2012
3.1.8.3 Price Trend of ABC in 2012
3.1.9 Other Nitrogen Fertilizer Market
 
3.2 Prospect of Nitrogen Fertilizer Market in 2013
3.2.1 Growth Potential of Nitrogen Fertilizer Production Capacity in 2013
3.2.2 Prediction of Nitrogen Fertilizer Market Trend in 2013
3.2.3 Prediction of Urea Market Trend in 2013
3.2.4 Impact of Export Tariff Adjustment on Urea Market in 2013
3.2.5 Change Trend of Urea Production Distribution 
3.2.6 Prediction of Nitrogen Fertilizer Output in 2013
3.2.7 Prediction of Nitrogen Fertilizer Import & Export in 2013
3.2.8 Prediction of Nitrogen Fertilizer Consumption in 2013
 
 

Chapter IV Review and Prospect of Phosphate Fertilizer Market in 2012-2013

4.1 Review of Phosphate Fertilizer Market in 2012
4.1.1 Analysis of Prosperity of Phosphate Fertilizer Industry in 2012
4.1.2 Cost and Profit of Phosphate Fertilizer Industry in 2012
4.1.3 Output of Phosphate Fertilizer in 2012 and Degree of Industrial Concentration
4.1.4 Import & Export of Phosphate Fertilizer in 2012
4.1.5 Consumption of Phosphate Fertilizer in 2012
4.1.6 Price Trend of Phosphate Fertilizer in 2012
 
4.2 Prospect of Phosphate Fertilizer Market in 2013
4.2.1 Growth Potential of Phosphate Fertilizer Production Capacity in 2013
4.2.2 Prediction of Supply of Sulfur and Phosphorus as Raw Material in 2013
4.2.3 Prediction of Phosphate Fertilizer Output in 2013
4.2.4 Prediction of Phosphate Fertilizer Import & Export in 2013
4.2.5 Prediction of Phosphate Fertilizer Consumption in 2013
 

Chapter V Review and Prospect of Potash Fertilizer Market in 2012-2013

5.1 Review of Potash Fertilizer Market in 2012
5.1.1 Analysis of Prosperity of Potash Fertilizer Industry in 2012
5.1.2 Cost and Profit of Potash Fertilizer Industry in 2012
5.1.3 Construction Progress of Overseas Potash Fertilizer Project
5.1.4 Analysis of Potash Fertilizer Market in 2012
5.1.5 Output of Potash Fertilizer in 2012
5.1.6 Import & Export of Potash Fertilizer in 2012
5.1.7 Consumption of Potash Fertilizer in 2012
5.1.8 Impact of Potash Fertilizer Price/Grain Price on Potash Fertilizer Consumption
5.1.9 Price Trend of Potash Fertilizer in 2012
 
5.2 Prospect of Potash Fertilizer Market in 2013
5.2.1 Analysis of Growth Potential of Potash Fertilizer Production Capacity and Self-Supply Ability in 2013
5.2.2 Prediction of Potash Fertilizer Market Trend in 2013
5.2.3 Prediction of Potash Fertilizer Output in 2013
5.2.4 Prediction of Negotiation on Potash Fertilizer Import in 2013
5.2.5 Prediction of Potash Fertilizer Import & Export in 2013
5.2.6 Prediction of Potash Fertilizer Consumption in 2013
 

Chapter VI Review and Prospect of Compound Fertilizer Market in 2012-2013

6.1 Review of Compound Fertilizer Market in 2012
6.1.1 Analysis of Prosperity of Compound Fertilizer Industry in 2012
6.1.2 Cost and Profit of Compound Fertilizer Industry in 2012
6.1.3 Analysis of Compound Fertilizer Market Trend in 2012
6.1.4 Output of Compound Fertilizer in 2012
6.1.5 Import & Export of Compound Fertilizer in 2012
6.1.6 Consumption of Compound Fertilizer in 2012
6.1.7 Impact of Compound Fertilizer Price/Grain Price on Compound Fertilizer Consumption
6.1.8 Price Trend of NPK, DAP and MAP in 2012
6.1.9 Degree of Industrial Concentration of NPK, DAP and MAP in 2012
 
6.2 Prospect of Compound Fertilizer Market in 2013
6.2.1 Growth Potential of Compound Fertilizer Production Capacity in 2013
6.2.2 Prediction of Compound Fertilizer Market Trend in 2013
6.2.3 Impact of Export Tariff Change on Compound Fertilizer Market in 2013
6.2.4 Prediction of Compound Fertilizer Output in 2013
6.2.5 Prediction of Compound Fertilizer Import & Export in 2013
6.2.5.1 Prediction of DAP and MAP Export in 2013
6.2.5.2 Prediction of NPK Import & Export in 2013
6.2.6 Prediction of Compound Fertilizer Consumption in 2013
 

Chapter VII Review and Prospect of New Fertilizers in 2012-2013

7.1 Review and Prospect of Slow Controlled Release Fertilizer Market in 2012-2013
7.1.1 Capacity and Output of Slow Controlled Release Fertilizer in 2012
7.1.2 Consumption of Slow Controlled Release Fertilizer in 2012
7.1.3 Price Trend of Slow Controlled Release Fertilizer in 2012
7.1.4 Analysis of Competitive Advantages and Market Risks of Slow Controlled Release Fertilizer
7.1.5 Output Prediction of Slow Controlled Release Fertilizer in 2013
7.1.6 Consumption Prediction of Slow Controlled Release Fertilizer in 2013
 
7.2 Review and Prospect of Microbial Fertilizer Market in 2012-2013
7.2.1 Capacity and Output of Microbial Fertilizer in 2012
7.2.2 Consumption of Microbial Fertilizer in 2012
7.2.3 Price Trend of Microbial Fertilizer in 2012
7.2.4 Analysis of Competitive Advantages and Market Risks of Microbial Fertilizer
7.2.5 Output Prediction of Microbial Fertilizer in 2013
7.2.6 Consumption Prediction of Microbial Fertilizer in 2013
 

Chapter VIII Review and Prospect of Relevant Industries in 2012-2013

8.1 Review and Prospect of Synthetic Ammonia Market in 2012-2013
8.1.1 Supply of Coal and Natural Gas in 2012
8.1.2 Output of Synthetic Ammonia in 2012
8.1.3 Import & Export of Synthetic Ammoniain 2012
8.1.4 Price Trend of Synthetic Ammonia in 2012
8.1.5 Prediction of Synthetic Ammonia Output in 2013
8.1.6 Prediction of Synthetic Ammonia Import & Export in 2013
 
8.2 Review and Prospect of Phosphate Rock Market in 2012-2013
8.2.1 Analysis of Phosphate Rock Supply in China
8.2.2 Output of Phosphate Rock in 2012
8.2.3 Import & Export of Phosphate Rock in 2012
8.2.4 Price Trend of Phosphate Rock in 2012
8.2.5 Prediction of Phosphate Rock Output in 2013
8.2.6 Prediction of Phosphate Rock Import & Export in 2013
 
8.3 Review and Prospect of Sulfur and Sulfuric Acid Market in 2012-2013
8.3.1 Analysis of Sulfur and Sulfuric Acid Supply
8.3.2 Output of Sulfur and Sulfuric Acid in 2012
8.3.3 Output of Pyrite in 2012
8.3.4 Import & Export of Sulfur and Sulfuric Acid in 2012
8.3.5 Price Trend of Sulfur, Sulfuric Acid and Pyrite in 2012
8.3.6 Prediction of Sulfur and Sulfuric Acid Output in 2013
8.3.7 Prediction of Pyrite Output in 2013
8.3.8 Prediction of Sulfur and Sulfuric Acid Import in 2013
 
8.4 Review and Prospect of Phosphoric Acid Market in 2012-2013
8.4.1 Output of Phosphoric Acid in 2012
8.4.2 Import of Phosphoric Acid in 2012
8.4.3 Prediction of Phosphoric Acid Output in 2013
8.4.4 Prediction of Phosphoric Acid in Import in 2013
 

Appendix Ⅰ Statistical Tables

Statistical Tables of Fertilizer

Table 1, Balance Sheet of Fertilizer, 2009-2013
Table 2, Major Imported Fertilizer Products, 2008-2012
Table 3, Major Exported Fertilizer Products, 2008-2012
Table 4, Output of Fertilizer, 2008-2012
Table 5, Consumption of Fertilizer, 2008-2012
 

Statistical Tables of Nitrogen Fertilizer

Table 6, Balance Sheet of Nitrogen Fertilizer, 2009-2013
Table 7, Balance Sheet of Urea, 2009-2013
Table 8, Output of Nitrogen Fertilizer by Varieties, 2008-2012
Table 9, Output of Nitrogen Fertilizer by Provinces, 2008-2012
Table 10, Consumption of Nitrogen Fertilizer by Provinces, 2008-2012
Table 11, Export of Urea by Nations, 2008-2012
Table 12, Export of Urea by Customs, 2008-2012
Table 13, Export of Urea by Provinces, 2008-2012
Table 14, Export of Ammonium Sulfate by Nations, 2008-2012
Table 15, Export of Ammonium Chloride by Nations, 2008-2012
Table 16, Export of Ammonium Nitrate by Nations, 2008-2012
 

Statistical Tables of Phosphate Fertilizer

Table 17, Balance Sheet of Phosphate Fertilizer, 2009-2013
Table 18, Output of Phosphate Fertilizer by Varieties, 2008-2012
Table 19, Output of Phosphate Fertilizer by Provinces, 2008-2012
Table 20, Consumption of Phosphate Fertilizer by Provinces, 2008-2012
Table 21, Export of Superphosphate by Nations, 2008-2012
Table 22, Export of Triple Superphosphate by Nations, 2008-2012
 

Statistical Tables of Potash Fertilizer

Table 23, Balance Sheet of Potash Fertilizer, 2009-2013
Table 24, Output of Potash Fertilizer by Varieties, 2008-2012
Table 25, Output of Potash Fertilizer by Provinces, 2008-2012
Table 26, Consumption of Potash Fertilizer by Provinces, 2008-2012
Table 27, Import of Potassium Chlorideby Nations, 2008-2012
Table 28, Export of Potassium Chloride by Nations, 2008-2012
Table 29, Import of Potassium Chloride by Customs, 2008-2012
Table 30, Export of Potassium Chloride  by Customs, 2008-2012
Table 31, Import of Potassium Chloride  by Provinces, 2008-2012
Table 32, Import of Potassium Sulfate by Nations, 2008-2012
Table 33, Export of Potassium Sulfate by Nations, 2008-2012
Table 34, Import of Potassium Sulfate by Customs, 2008-2012
Table 35, Export of Potassium Sulfate by Customs, 2008-2012
Table 36, Import of Potassium Sulfate by Provinces, 2008-2012
 

Statistical Tables of Compound Fertilizer

Table 37, Balance Sheet of Compound Fertilizer, 2009-2013
Table 38, Balance Sheet of NPK, 2009-2013
Table 39, Balance Sheet of DAP, 2009-2013
Table 40, Output of Compound Fertilizer by Provinces, 2008-2012
Table 41, Consumption of Compound Fertilizer by Provinces, 2008-2012
Table 42, Import of NPK by Nations, 2008-2012
Table 43, Export of NPK by Nations, 2008-2012
Table 44, Import of NPK by Customs, 2008-2012
Table 45, Export of NPK by Customs, 2008-2012
Table 46, Import of NPK by Provinces, 2008-2012
Table 47, Import of DAP by Nations, 2008-2012
Table 48, Export of DAP by Nations, 2008-2012
Table 49, Import of DAP by Customs, 2008-2012
Table 50, Export of DAP by Customs, 2008-2012
Table 51, Import of DAP by Provinces, 2008-2012
Table 52, Export of DAP by Nations, 2008-2012
 

Statistical Tables of Relevant Products

Table 53, Major Fertilizer-related Products Imported, 2008-2012
Table 54, Export of Fertilizer-related Products, 2008-2012
Table 55, Output of Fertilizer-related Products, 2008-2012
Table 56, Output of Phosphate Rock by Provinces, 2008-2012
Table 57, Output of Sulphuric Acid by Provinces, 2008-2012
Table 58, Output of Pyrite by Provinces, 2008-2012
Table 59, Output of Synthetic Ammonia by Provinces, 2008-2012
Table 60, Export of Phosphate Rock by Nations, 2008-2012
Table 61, Export of Phosphate Rock by Customs, 2008-2012
Table 62, Import of Sulphuric by Nations, 2008-2012
Table 63, Import Sulphuric Acid by Customs, 2008-2012
 

Appendix Ⅱ Key Events in Fertilizer Market 2012

Extract

Chapter Ⅱ Review and Outlook on Fertilizer Market 2012-2013

2.1 Review on Fertilizer Market in 2012

2.1.1 Analysis on Prosperity of Fertilizer Industry in 2012

In 2012, the 2166 fertilizer producers in China realized sales revenue of RMB836.2 billion Yuan, up 17.2% year on year. The net profit reached RMB44.6 billion Yuan, up11.6% year on year. From the five-month behavior of average net profit margin of fertilizer industry from 2008 to 2012, it’s noted that the quarterly fluctuation characteristics got stronger in 2012. In the first 2 quarters of 2012, the net profit margin rebounded rapidly, reaching the top of the year (7.77%) in August, while in the 3^rd and 4th quarter it dropped in fluctuation. Net profit margin was fluctuating within 4.0%-6.0% across the year.
 
In 2012, the average net profit margin of fertilizer industry was 5.3%, down 0.3 points compared with that of 2011; the industry loss percentage increased from 12.6% in 2011 to 13.4%; total loss of the enterprises reached RMB 5.6 billion Yuan, up 47.1% year on year.

2.1.2 Analysis on Fertilizer Market Trend in 2012

In 2012, fertilizer demand and supply was generally balanced in China, but the discrepancy between different sub-industries was enlarged; supply-demand of nitrogen fertilizer was getting balanced from the previous tight condition; supply-demand of phosphate fertilizer and potassium fertilizer was balanced. By comprehensive analysis, total fertilizer output reached 68.4 million tons in China in 2012, and imported fertilizer quantity was about 4.75 million tons, both numbers increased; while total domestic consumption was about 62 million tons and exported quantity was about 8 million tons, both numbers dropped slightly. The change of supply-demand led to the stock inventory exceeding 15.5 million tons by the end of 2012, up 25% year on year. Consumption rate of stock inventory rebounded from 19.8% in 2011 to 25.1%, which the highest level in the past 3 years.
 
Fertilizer production cost continued to increase in 2012. With reference to raw material cost, no obvious increase was noted regarding coal, natural gas, sulfur and potassium chloride. With reference to fuel cost, price of fuel oil increased by RMB200-300Yuan/MT. Besides, due to insufficient raw material and fuel supply, the price increase was mainly about numbers (especially raw material of natural gas), which led to low operation rate at factories and increased fertilizer production cost by certain degree. What’s more, labor cost and environment protection cost also increased influenced by the Labor Low and related environment protection laws.
 
Influenced by both supply-demand balance and cost increase, obvious fluctuation was noted regarding fertilizer price tendency in 2012. For price increase, the growth rate was mostly below 5%; but many fertilizer varieties also experienced price decline.