Analysis and Forecast on China Fertilizer Industry (2015-2016)

By CnAgri 2016-01-08 10:09:27 Print Tel:861064402035 Email: [email protected]

Price: RMB 16000(English Version) RMB 12000(Chinese Version)


Brief Introduction:

Basic Information:

Table of Contents:

Research Background

This report will perform deep analysis on production, consumption, trade, market price and production margin of N-Fertilizer, P-Fertilizer, K-fertilizer and NPK sectors in 2015, as well as operational situation of main listed companies; it also will predict developmental trends in 2016.
Fertilizer market in 2015 showed the following changes:
(1) Owing to an increase in operating rate, fertilizer output rebounded slightly. P-Fertilizer output increased by 12%; N-Fertilizer output went up 5%; the growth of K-Fertilizer output was 4 percentage points lower than last year.
(2) Fertilizer import and export both increased by more 10%. DAP export increased by nearly 60%, highest; urea exports couldn’t exceed the high point in 2014. NPK import went up 30%; potash import ascended 7.5% to 8.7 million MT (product), highest in the last eight years.
(3) Fertilizer consumption rose steadily.
(4) Fertilizer market price rebounded, but still fluctuated at a low level. Along with the decreasing of material prices, production costs kept reducing and producing margins went up slightly, but the overall N-Fertilizer sector still was in the red and NPK sector still made a relatively big profit.
This report will provide objective viewpoints and accurate data to market players for reference.

Table of Content

Chapter One  Analysis on Policies for Fertilizer Industry in 2015
1.1 Change of Agricultural Policy and Its Influence on Fertilizer Industry
1.1.1 Influence of a Drop in Agricultural Product Purchase Price on Fertilizer Market
1.1.2 An Adjustment on Subsidy Policies for Agriculture Influenced Fertilizer Market in the Short Term 
1.2 Influence of Preferential Policies on Fertilizer Industry 
1.2.1 An Increase in Railway Freight Had Little Influence on Fertilizer Market in the Short Term
1.2.2 Natural Gas Price Marketization Would Accelerate the Exit of Backward Capacity of Urea
1.2.3 Along with the Cancelling of Preferential Price of Power for Fertilizer Production, High-Cost Producers Would be Eliminated
1.2.4 China Resumed Levying VAT on Fertilizer Sector, Bringing Great Influence on Potash Sector
1.2.5 Fertilizer Reserves in Off Season was Reduced
1.3 Influence of Other Policies on Fertilizer Industry
(Tariff liberalization, simplification of fertilizer examination and approval, etc.)
Chapter Two  Analysis and Forecast on Upstream Sectors of Fertilizer in 2015-2016
2.1 Synthetic Ammonia Market Analysis in 2015
2.1.1 Synthetic Ammonia Output up 1% year on year
2.1.2 Synthetic Ammonia yield distribution by province
2.1.3 Synthetic Ammonia Imports up about 1 times
2.1.4 Annual Average Price of Synthetic Ammonia down 6.2% year on year
2.2 Phosphorite Market Analysis in 2015
2.2.1 Phosphorite Output up 15% year on year
2.2.2 Phosphorite yield distribution by province
2.2.3 Phosphorite Exports down 45%
2.2.4 Annual Average Price of Phosphorite down 3.3% year on year
2.3 Sulphur and Sulphuric Acid Market in 2015
2.3.1 Sulphuric Acid Output up 4.3% year on year
2.3.2 Sulphuric Acid yield distribution by province
2.3.3 Sulphur Imports up 8%
2.3.4 Annual Average Price of Sulphur up 16 RMB/MT year on year
2.4 Forecast of Raw Materials in 2016
2.4.1 Ammonia Output and Import to Further Increase Slightly
2.4.2 Phosphate Rock Output to Further Ascend and Export Volume to Rebound Slightly
2.4.3 Sulfuric Acid Output to Improve Slightly and Sulfur Import to Go Up
Chapter Three  Forecast and Analysis on Nitrogen Fertilizer Market, 2015-2016
3.1 Analysis on Change Features of N-Fertilizer Sector in 2015
   Important events: analysis on main influential factors on production, trade and market
3.2 Excess of N-Fertilizer Production in 2015 was Aggravated
3.2.1 Location of Main N-Fertilizer Producers: Hubei, Henan and Shandong
3.2.2 N-Fertilizer Output up 5% Year on Year, Highest in the Last Three Years
3.2.3 Location of Urea Producers: Henan, Shandong and Shanxi
3.2.4 Urea Output Up to 34.3 Million MT, a Record High
3.2.5 Small Difference Between New-added Capacity and Exit Capacity and a Slight Increase in Total Capacity
3.3 A Steady Growth of N-Fertilizer Consumption in 2015
3.3.1 Consumption of N-Fertilizer Direct Consumption of N-Fertilizer by Province Direct Consumption of N-Fertilizer by Crop Variety
3.3.2 Consumption of N-Fertilizer Direct Consumption of Urea by Province Direct Consumption of Urea by Crop Variety
3.4 A Record High of Export Volume and a Fall in Export Price of Main N-Fertilizer Products
3.4.1 Urea Export Volume Decreased and Export Price Stabilized Urea Export Down to 12.5 Million MT, the Second Highest Level Urea Export to India Accounted for 40% Urea Export Price Stabilized
3.4.2 Ammonium Chloride Export Ascended and Export Price Dropped Ammonium Chloride Export Hit a Record High, 0.37 Million MT Higher than Last Year Main Countries of Destination: Malaysia and Vietnam Ammonium Chloride Export Price was 5 US Dollars/MT Lower than Last Year
3.4.3 Trade of Other N-Fertilizer Products Ammonium Sulfate Export Hit a New Record of 5 Million MT Ammonium Sulfate Export was 80,000 MT Less Than Last Year
3.5 After a Roller Coaster Ride, Main N-Fertilizer Product Prices Slumped Again  
3.5.1 Anthracite Price Averaged at 830 RMB/MT, 149 RMB/MT Lower than Last Year
3.5.2 Urea Price Rose at First and Then Dropped to the Cost Line
3.5.3 Urea Production Margin Increased at First and Then Decreased, and Overall Profits Rebounded  
3.6 Analysis on N-Fertilizer Market in 2015
3.7 N-Fertilizer Groups Analysis
3.7.1 Luxi Chemical Group Co., Ltd.
3.7.2 Sichuan Meifeng Chemical Industry Co., Ltd.
3.7.3 Hualu Hengsheng Group Co., Ltd.
3.7.4 Guizhou Chitianhua Industry Co., Ltd.
3.7.5 Sichuan Chemical Company Limited
3.7.6 Yangquan Coal Industry (Group) Co., Ltd.
3.7.7 Sichuan Lu Tian Hua Co., Ltd.
3.8 N-Fertilizer Market Forecast in 2016
3.8.1 N-Fertilizer and Urea Production Growth to Reduce
3.8.2 N-Fertilizer and Urea Consumption to Stabilize
3.8.3 N-Fertilizer Export Unable to Hit a New Record
3.8.4 N-Fertilizer Price and Production Margin to Further Go Down
Chapter Four  Forecast and Analysis on Phosphate Fertilizer Market, 2015-2016
4.1 Analysis on Change Features of P-Fertilizer Sector in 2015
   Important events: Analysis on Main Influential Factors on Production, Trade and Market Change
4.2 A Rapid Rise in P-Fertilizer Production in 2015
4.2.1 P-Fertilizer Output up 12% Year on Year, a High Point in the Last Four Years
4.2.2 Main P-Fertilizer Producing Provinces: Hubei, Guizhou, Yunnan and Sichuan
4.2.3 Less New-added Production Capacity
4.3 P-Fertilizer Consumption Stabilized
4.3.1 Consumption of P-Fertilizer Direct Consumption of P-Fertilizer by Province Direct Consumption of P-Fertilizer by Crop Variety
4.3.2 Consumption of DAP Direct Consumption of DAP by Province Direct Consumption of DAP by Crop Variety
4.4 P-Fertilizer Export Volume Hit a Historically High Point and Export Price Kept Lowering in 2015
4.4.1 DAP Export Volume Increased but Export Price Decreased DAP Export Volume up Nearly 60% Year on Year DAP Export Volume to India Accounted for 50% DAP Export Price was 52 US Dollars/MT Lower than Last Year
4.4.2 MAP Export Volume Ascended and Export Price Dropped MAP Export Volume up 16% Year on Year Main Country of Destination: Brazil MAP Export Price was 13 US Dollars/MT Less Than Last Year
4.4.3 Trade of Other P-Fertilizer Products Other Superphosphate Export Volume up 23.8% Year on Year Triple Superphosphate Export Volume Stabilized
4.5 2015 Ammonium Acid Phosphate Price Improved
4.5.1 MAP Price Stabilized and Overall Price Rebounded Slightly
4.5.2 DAP Price Dropped but Overall Price Rose Slightly
4.5.3 MAP Production Margin Ascended Slightly
4.5.4 DAP Production Margin up Nearly 1 Time
4.6 Analysis on P-Fertilizer Market in 2015
4.7 P-Fertilizer Groups Analysis
4.7.1 Yunnan Yuntianhua Co., Ltd.
4.7.2 Anhui Liuguo Chemical Co., Ltd.
4.7.3 Wengfu Group
4.8 P-Fertilizer Market Forecast in 2016
4.8.1 P-Fertilizer Production to Increase Steadily
4.8.2 P-Fertilizer Consumption to Stabilize
4.8.3 P-Fertilizer Export Volume to Increase and Export Price to Decrease
4.8.4 P-Fertilizer Market Price and Production Margin to Fall Slowly
Chapter Five  Forecast and Analysis on Potash Fertilizer Market, 2015-2016
5.1 Analysis on Change Features of P-Fertilizer Industry in 2015
    Important events: Analysis of Main Influential Factors on Production, Trade and Market Change
5.2 2015 Potash Production Growth Fell for the First Time
5.2.1 Potash Production Growth Slowed Down, up 4% Year on Year
5.2.2 Main Producing Provinces: Qinghai and Xinjiang
5.2.3 New-added Potash Capacity mainly was SOP
5.3 2015 K-Fertilizer Consumption Improved Gently
5.3.1 Consumption of K-Fertilizer Direct Consumption of K-Fertilizer by Province Direct Consumption of K-Fertilizer by Crop Variety
5.3.2 Consumption of MOP Direct Consumption of MOP by Province Direct Consumption of MOP by Crop Variety
5.4 2015 K-Fertilizer Import Price Dropped and Import Volume Hit a High Point in the Last Eight Years
5.4.1 MOP Import Volume Hit a New Record MOP Import Volume up 7% Year on Year Main Original Countries: Belarus, Russian Federation and Canada MOP Import Price Stabilized
5.4.2 A Continuous Drop in SOP Import Volume for Three Years SOP Import Volume down 33% Main Original Countries: Russian Federation and Germany SOP Export Price was 32 US Dollars/MT Higher than Last Year
5.5 K-Fertilizer Product Market Prices were Mixed in 2015  
5.5.1 MOP Price Ascended Rapidly
5.5.2 SOP Price Kept Dropping
5.6 Analysis on K-Fertilizer Market in 2015
5.7 K-Fertilizer Groups Analysis
5.7.1 Qinghai Salt Lake Industry Group Company Limited
5.7.2 Golmud Tibetan Potash Fertilizer Co., Ltd.
5.7.3 Guotou Xinjiang Luo Bu Po Potassium Salt Co., Ltd.
5.8 K-fertilizer Market Forecast in 2016
5.8.1 K-Fertilizer Production Growth to Slow Down
5.8.2 K-Fertilizer Consumption to Increase Slightly
5.8.3 K-Fertilizer Import to Fall Steadily
5.8.4 K-Fertilizer Price to Drop Slightly
Chapter Six  Forecast and Analysis on Compound Fertilizer Market, 2015-2016
6.1 Analysis on Change Features of NPK Industry in 2015
   Important events: Analysis of Main Influential Factors on Production, Trade and Market Change
6.2 2015 NPK Production Kept Increasing
6.2.1 NPK Production Increased Slightly
6.2.2 New-added Capacity of NPK still was Fastest in Fertilizer Industry
6.3 2015 NPK Consumption Ascended Slightly
6.3.1 Consumption of Compound Fertilizer Direct Consumption of Compound Fertilizer by Province Direct Consumption of Compound Fertilizer by Crop Variety
6.3.2 Consumption of NPK Compound Fertilizer Direct Consumption of NPK Compound Fertilizer by Province Direct Consumption of NPK Compound Fertilizer by Crop Variety
6.4 2015 NPK Import Further Rose, but Export Couldn’t Have a Breakthrough
6.4.1 NPK Import Rebounded Slightly
6.4.2 NPK Import Price was 6 US Dollars/MT Lower Than Last Year
6.4.3 Main Original Countries: Norway and Russian Federation
6.4.4 NPK Export Volume still Was Extremely Small
6.5 NPK Price Rebounded Steadily, but Average Price Dropped Slightly
6.6 Analysis on NPK Market in 2015
6.7 Compound Fertilizer Groups Analysis
6.7.1 Kingenta Ecological Engineering Group Co., Ltd.
6.7.2 Stanley Fertilizer Limited by Share Ltd
6.7.3 Shenzhen Batian Ecotypic Engineering Company Limited.
6.7.4 Shindoo Chemi-Industry Co., Ltd
6.7.5 Hubei Xinyangfeng Fertilizer Co., Ltd.
6.7.6 Anhui Sierte Fertilizer Industry Co., Ltd.
6.8 Compound Fertilizer Market Forecast in 2016
6.8.1 NPK Output to Further Go up
6.8.2 NPK Consumption to Improve
6.8.3 NPK Import still to Maintain at a High Level
6.8.2 NPK Price still to Fluctuate at a Low Level 
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