Special Research Report on China Hog Industry 2011

By CnAgri 2011-05-13 14:59:46 Print Tel:861064402035 Email: Service.boabc@boabc.com

Price: RMB40000(English Version) RMB30000(Chinese Version)

Brief Introduction:

The report forecasts Chinese hog industry by five historical research chapters: policy environment of hog industry in China, pork demand, feedstuff support as well as cost and profit, by which to give a clear guide to the following issues: the prospect of the policy environment of hog breeding and processing in China, potential of pork demand growth, the support capability of feedstuff in China, the cost and profit of hog industry, the prospect of hog industry in China under the constraints of factors, the development model, the characteristics in different regions, the benefit distributed in the value chain.

Basic Information:

Author: CNAGRI
Web: www.CNAGRI.com
Key Words: China Hog Industry, Policy Environment, Pork Demand and Supply, Feedstuff Support, Cost and Profit, Export and Import Data, Analysis and Outlook, Price Data, Trend and Anticipation.
Delivery: via E-mail or Hard Copy
Price: Chinese Version RMB30000Yuan; English Version RMB40000Yuan

Table of Contents:

1. Policy Environment of Hog Industry
1.1 Judgment on Development of Grain Production Policy in China
1.2 Evaluation of Changes of Environmental Protection Policy on Animal Farming
1.3 Analysis of Quality Control over Processed Pork Products in China
1.4 Analysis of Policy Orientation for Development of Hog Husbandry in China
1.5 China Pork Reserve Policy
1.6 Analysis of Policy Orientation for Development of Animal Husbandry in China
1.7 China Animal Disease Control System and its effects
1.8 Evaluation of Policy on Feed Industry Development
1.9 Analysis of Trend of Policy on Hog Slaughter in China
1.10 Judgment of Trend of Trade Policy on Hog Products in China
1.11 Goals of Residents’ Incomes of the “Twelfth Five-year” Plan
1.12 Evaluation of Policy Environment for Hog Production in China
2 Analysis of Prospect of Pork Consumption
2.1 Trend of Meat Consumption
2.2 Structure of Pork Consumption and Trend
2.3 Analysis of Prospect of Pork Consumption at Home
2.4 Food Construction Structure of Households and Trend
2.4.1 Impacts from Rising of Resident’s Income to Household Pork Consumption
2.4.2 Analysis of Growth Potential of Household Pork Consumption Thanks to Rigid Population Growth
2.4.3 Impacts from Urbanization on Household Pork Consumption
2.4.4 Forecast of Growing Potential of Household Pork Consumption
2.5 Analysis of Prospect of Industrial Consumption of Pork
2.5.1 Prospect of Pork Processing
2.5.2 Proportion of Processed Pork Products in the Total of Meat Products
2.5.3 Patterns of Industrial Consumption of Pork and Trend
2.5.4 Processing Capacity of Pork Products
2.5.5 Forecast of Growing Potential of Demand from Processing Industry
2.6 Analysis of Prospect of Outdoor Consumption of Pork
2.6.1 Impacts on Outdoor Pork Consumption from Rising of Income
2.6.2 Impacts on Outdoor Pork Consumption from Urbanization
2.6.3 Impacts on Outdoor Pork Consumption from Population Growth
2.6.4 Forecast of Growing Potential of Outdoor Pork Consumption
2.7 Analysis of Prospect of Pork Export
2.7.1 Analysis of Future Demand for Pork of Main Importing Countries and Regions
2.7.2 Impacts on Pork Export from China from International Pork Production Cost
2.7.3 Impacts on Pork Export from Trade Policies of Main Destination Countries and Regions
2.7.4 Forecast of Demand for Pork Export from China
2.8 Analysis of Impact on Consumption from Pork Import
2.8.1 Pork Import Demand Forecast
2.8.2 Major Import Countries and Regions
2.8.3 Impact on Consumption from Pork Cost in Major Import Countries and Regions
2.9 Analysis of Impacts on Pork Consumption from Substitutes
2.10Analysis of Impacts on Pork Demand from Price Fluctuation
2.11 Impacts on Pork Consumption from Uncertain Factors such as Epidemic
2.12 Impacts on Pork Consumption from Food Safety Events such as Lean Meat Essence Event
2.13 Evaluation of Growing Potential of Pork Demand and Forecast
3 Assessment of the Supply Capacity of Feed and Feedstuff for Hog Farming in China
3.1 Analysis of Feed Supply Structure in China
3.2 Analysis of Corn Material Supply
3.2.1 China’s Corn Production Capacity
3.2.2 China’s Corn Consumption Structure
3.2.3 Competition for Materials between Corn Deep-processing Industry and Feed Industry
3.2.4 Impact on Corn Consumption from China’s Limit on Corn Deep Processing Industry
3.2.5 Constraints on Hog Farming from Corn Feed Supply
3.2.6 Analysis of the Likelihood for China to Import Corn
3.2.7 Import Corn or Import Pork
3.2.8 Analysis on DDGS Import and Its Substitution Effect on Corn Feed
3.2.9 Evaluation of the Comprehensive Supply Capacity of Corn Material for Hog Farming
3.3 Evaluation of the Supply Capacity of Soymeal
3.3.1 Analysis of Soybean Production Potential in China
3.3.2 Analysis of the Reliability of Soybean Import
3.3.3 Constraint on Hog Farming by Soymeal Supply
3.3.4 Evaluation of the Comprehensive Supply Capacity of Soymeal Material
4 Cost-benefit Analysis of the Value Chain of China’s Hog Industry
4.1 Structural Analysis of the Value Chain of Hog Industry
4.1.1 Cost-benefit Analysis of Hog Feed Production and Prediction
4.1.2 Cost-Benefit Analysis and Estimates of Hog Farming
4.1.3 Cost-Benefit Analysis and Forecasts of Hog Farming in Different Regions
4.1.4 Cost-Benefit Analysis and Estimates of Hog Farming in Different Scales
4.1.5 Cost-Benefit Analysis and Forecasts of Standardization Breeding
4.1.6 Cost-Benefit Analysis and Estimates of Hog Transportation
4.1.7 Cost-Benefit Analysis and Forecasts of Hog Slaughtering
4.1.8 Cost-Benefit Analysis of Pork Products and Forecast
4.1.9 Value Chain Composition Analysis of the Hog Farming Industry in China       81
4.2 Evaluation of the Rationality of Interest Distribution of the Value Chain of Hog Farming
4.3 Impact on Benefits of Hog Farming from Interest Distribution of the Value Chain
5 Analysis of Hog Farming Prospect in China
5.1 Analysis of Total Quantity of Hog Farming in China
5.2 Analysis of Growth Potential of Hog Farming in Different Regions
5.3 Growth Potential for Hog Farming of Different Scales
5.4 Growth Potential of Hog Farming Given the Constraints of Feed Supply
5.5 Growth Potential of Chinese Endemic Hog Farming
5.6 Pork Trade and Its Impact on Hog Farming in China
6 Analysis of the Cyclic Turbulences of China’s Hog Farming and Counter Measures
6.1 Review of Cycles of Hog Farming in China
6.1.1 Definition of the Cycle of Hog Farming
6.1.2 Cyclical Fluctuations Influence on Hog Industry
6.1.3 Cyclical Fluctuations Influence on Feed Industry
6.1.4 Cyclical Fluctuations Influence on Hog Slaughtering & Processing Industry
6.2 Review of Main Cycles
6.3 Factors for the Formation of Farming Cycles in China
6.4 Factors Influencing the Cycles of China’s Hog Farming
6.4.1 Feed Material
6.4.2 Influence from Inventory of Breeding Sows
6.4.3 Influence from Farming Scale
6.4.4 Influence from Hog Epidemic and Diseases
6.4.5 Influence from Lean Meat Powder Event
6.4.6 Risk Control over Hog Farming Industry & Statistics Information Influence on Cycle
6.4.7 Influence from Interest Distribution of Hog Farming Industry
6.4.8 Lack of Integrated Enterprise and Pork Reserves
6.4.9 Influence from Hog Circulation System
6.4.10 Influence from GDP Growth
6.4.11 Influence from the Quit of Free-range of Farmers
6.4.12 Other Factors
6.5 Policy Study for Lowering the Turbulence in Hog Farming
7 Status of China’s Hog Farming Industry in the World and Comparative Study of Costs
7.1 Region Distribution of World Pork Production
7.2 World Pork Trade
7.3 Hog Farming and Cost in US
7.4 Hog Farming and Cost in Canada
7.5 Hog Farming in Brazil
7.6 Changes in the Status of China’s Hog Industry in the World
8 Vertically-Integrated Enterprises of China Hog Industry
8.1 Shuanghui Group
8.1.1 Farming Capacity
8.1.2 Slaughtering Capacity
8.1.3 Slaughter Volume
8.1.4 Influence form Lean Meat Powder Event
8.2 Yurun Group
8.2.1 Farming Capacity
8.2.2 Slaughtering Capacity
8.2.3 Slaughter Volume
8.3 Jinluo Group
8.3.1 Farming Capacity
8.3.2 Slaughtering Capacity
8.3.3 Slaughter Volume
8.4 Zhongpin Group
8.4.1 Farming Capacity
8.4.2 Slaughtering Capacity
8.4.3 Slaughter Volume
8.5 Tangrenshen Group
8.5.1 Farming Capacity
8.5.2 Slaughtering Capacity
8.5.3 Slaughter Volume
8.6 Delisi Group
8.6.1 Farming Capacity
8.6.2 Slaughtering Capacity
8.6.3 Slaughter Volume
8.7 Gold Kinn Foods
8.7.1 Farming Capacity
8.7.2 Slaughtering Capacity
8.7.3 Slaughter Volume
8.8 Other Companies
8.8.1 Newhope Group
8.8.2 COFCO Group
8.8.3 ChuYing Group
9 Overall Evaluation of the Development of China’s Hog Industry
9.1 Driving Force for China’s Hog Industry
9.2 Negative Factors for the Development of China’s Hog Industry
9.3 Overall Evaluation of the Development of Hog Industry in China
 
Figures & Tables
Table 1, Judgment on Trend of Policy Environment for Hog Farming in China
Fig 1, Changes of Per Capita Consumption of Animal Products and Aquatic Products at Home from 1990-2010
Fig 2, Consumption Structure of Fresh Pork and Meat Products from 1992-2015
Fig 3, Consumption Structure of Fresh Pork and Meat Products in 2010
Fig 4, Urban and Rural Structure of Pork Consumption, 1992-2015
Fig 5, Per capita & Gross Household Pork Consumption of Urban and Rural Residents, 1990-2015
Fig 6, Gross Household Pork Consumption of Urban and Rural Residents, 1990-2015
Table 2, Household Pork Consumption in 2015
Fig 7, Per Capita Food Consumption Indices of Households in 1990 - 2010
Fig 8, Income Level of Residents and Per Capita Pork Consumption at Home from 1990-2015
Fig 9, Indices of Per Capita Household Consumption of Pork of Urban Residents of Different Income Levels, 1990-2015
Fig 10, Income Structure of Per Capita Household Pork Consumption of Urban Residents, 1990-2015
Fig 11, Per Capita Household Pork Consumption of Urban Low-income Groups and Rural Residents, 1990 – 2015
Fig 12, Household Pork Consumption of Urban and Rural Residents, 1990-2015
Fig 13, Urban Population and Gross Household Pork Consumption, 1990-2015
Fig 14, Urbanization Level and Household Pork Consumption, 1990-2015
Fig 15, Gross Output of Meat Products and Pork Output, 1990-2015
Fig 16, Gross Output of Meat Products, Output of Meat Products from Processing Industry and Output of Traditional Chinese-style Meat Products, 1990-2015
Fig 17, Disposable Income of Urban and Rural Residents and Expenditure on Outdoor Consumption, 1990-2015
Fig 18, Per Capita Annual Consumption of Pork at Restaurants, 1992-2015
Fig 19, Added Value of Hotels and Catering Industry and Pork Consumption at Restaurants, 1992-2010
Fig 20, Pork Consumption at Restaurants by Urban and Rural Residents, 1992-2015
Fig 21, Outdoor Pork Consumption by Residents, 1992-2015
Fig 22, Structure of Destinations of Pork Export, 2010
Fig 23, Structure of Destinations of China’s Hog Export, 2010
Fig 24, Pork Import & Export and Total Trade Volume, 1991-2015
Fig 25, Structure of Origin of Pork Import, 2010
Fig 26, Structure of Origin of China’s Hog Import, 2010
Fig 27, Trends of Retail Prices Pork, Beef, Mutton, Chicken Meat and Chicken Eggs, 1997-2010
Fig 28, Per Capita Pork Consumption, Prices of Pork, Chicken Eggs and Chicken Meat, 1997-2010
Fig 29, Output of Manufactured Feed in China 1990 – 2015
Fig 30, Production Structure of Manufactured Feed in China 1990 - 2015
Fig 31, Animal Feed Production Composition in China in 2010 (Not converted to complete feed)
Fig 32, Animal Feed Production Composition in China 2010 (Converted to complete feed)
Fig 33, Corn Growing Area, Yield and Output in China 1990 – 2015
Fig 34, Crop Growing Structure in China 1990 - 2010
Fig 35, China’s Crop Output Structure 1990 – 2010
Fig 36, Corn Consumption Structure in China 1991 - 2010 (crop year)
Fig 37, China’s Total Output of Manufactured Feed (in complete feed) and Corn Consumption for Feed 1991 – 2015
Fig 38, China’s Corn Output, Feed output, Corn Consumption for Feed, Industrial Consumption of Corn and Total Corn Consumption 1990 - 2015
Fig 39, Hog Feed Demand, Output (converted to complete feed) and the Penetration Rate of Hog Feed in China 1990 - 2015
Fig 40, China’s Output of Hog Feed (complete feed) and Corn Content 1990 – 2015
Fig 41, Hog Feed Consumption of Corn, Total Feed Consumption of Corn and Total Output of Corn 1991 - 2015
Fig 42, Corn Import and Export and Stocks at the End of Period 1991 – 2015
Fig 43, DDGS Import Volume Change Trend in China, 2005-2010
Fig 44, Soybean Growing Area, Yield and Output in China 1990 - 2015
Fig 45, China’s Soybean output and Soybean Crushing Volume 1991 - 2015
Fig 46, China’s Soybean Output and Soybean Import 1990 - 2015
Fig 47, China’s Total Output of Manufactured Feed (converted to complete feeds) and Soymeal Consumption 1991 - 2015
Fig 48, China’s Hog Feed Output (converted to complete feed) and Soymeal Content in Hog Feed 1991 - 2015
Fig 49, Production Cost Composition of Compound Feed for Live Pigs in China, 2010
Fig 50, Output of Compound Feed for Live Pigs and the Profit Rate in China, 1997 – 2010
Fig 51, Piglet Price and Sow Farming Benefits in China, 1997 - 2010
Fig 52, Production Cost of Backyard farming Live Pigs in China, 2010
Fig 53, Cost of Backyard farming in China (labor cost not included), 2010
Fig 54, Hog Backyard farming Profits in China (Labor not Included), 2010
Fig 55, Scaled Hog Farming Cost of Different Provinces, 2010
Fig 56, Profits of Scaled Hog Farm of Different Provinces in China, 2010
Fig 57, Backyard farming Cost Structure in China, 2010
Fig 58, Cost Composition of Backyard farming of Live Pigs in China, 1991 - 2010
Fig 59, Cost Composition of Scale-farming Pigs in China, 2010
Fig60, Hog Scale-farming Cost Composition in China, 1991 - 2010
Fig 61, Profits of Backyard farming vs. Scale-farming in China, 1991 - 2010
Fig 62, Profit Rate of Backyard farming VS Scale-farming in China, 1991 – 2010
Fig.63 Cost Composition of Standardized farming in China, 2010
Fig.64 Transportation Cost Composition of Hog in China, 2010 (Including cost while empty vehicle return without exemption of toll)
Fig 65, Slaughtering Cost Composition of Large Slaughtering Enterprises in China, 2010
Fig 66, Hog Price VS Profit Rate of Slaughtering Industry in China, 1999-2010
Fig 67, Value Chain of Hog Industry in China, 2010
Fig 68, Profit Distribution Composition of Hog Industrial Chain in China, 1997 – 2010
Fig 69, Comparison of Interest Rates across Sectors of Hog Industry, 1997 - 2010
Fig 70, China’s pork output and the Quantity of Fattened Live Pigs, 1991 - 2015
Fig 71, China Pork Output Trend, 1991 - 2015
Fig 72, China Pork Output Index across Regions in China, 1991- 2015
Fig 73, Regional Structure of Pork Production in China, 1991 - 2015
Fig 74, Growth Rate of Pork Output in Northeast China vs. National Average, 1991 - 2015
Fig 75, Pork Output Growth Trend in the Northwest, 1991 - 2015
Fig 76, Hog Farming Scale Structure in China, 2010
Fig 77, China Hog Farming Structure by Farm Size, 2010
Fig 78, Backyard Farming VS Scaled-Farming of Live Pigs in China, 1991 - 2015
Fig79, Consumption of Corn for Feed, Soymeal in China vs. Pork Output, 1991 - 2015
Fig 80, Pork Price and Import and Export Volume, 1991 - 2010
Fig 81, China’s Pork Output and Trade Volume, 1991 – 2010
Fig 82, Hog Price in China, 1952 - 2010
Fig 83, Annual Fluctuations of Hog Price in China 1984 - 2010
Fig 84, Hog Price Trend in China 1984 – 2010
Fig 85, Monthly Price Trend during the Hog Farming Cycle 1997 - 2010
Fig 86, Price Range for Live Pigs and Corn in China 1985 - 2010
Fig 87, Hog Price during the Streptococcus Epidemic and Blue Ear Disease 2005 - 2010
Fig 88, Hog Price Fluctuation vs. GDP Growth Rate in China 1979-2010
Fig 89, Global Pork Output by Continents, 2010
Fig 90, Global Pork Output by Nations, 2010
Fig 91: 2000-2010 Pork Export in the World
Fig 92, United States Hog Slaughter, 1998-2010
Fig 93, Hog Farm Structure by Quantity of United States, 2010
Fig 94, Pig Herd Structure by Farm Size of United States, 2010
Fig 95, Hog Farming Cost Structure in US, 2010
Fig 96, Hog Production Cost of China and United States, 2000-2010
Fig 97, Corn Prices in US and China, 1999 - 2010
Fig 98, Wholesale and Retail Price of Pork in China and United States, 2000-2010
Fig 99, Canada Hog Crop, 2000-2010
Fig 100, Pork Output and Export of Canada, 2000-2010
Fig 101, Hog Farming Cost Structure in Canada, 2010
Fig 102, Brazil HogCrop, 2000-2010
Fig 103, Pork Output and Export of Brazil, 2000-2010
Fig 104, Hog Farming Cost Structure in Brazil, 2010
Table 3 Hog Slaughtering Capacity of Branch Companies of Shuanghui Group by Slaughterhouse, 2010
Table 4, Hog Slaughtering Capacity under Construction of Shuanghui Group by Slaughterhouse, 2010
Figure 105, Annual Slaughter Volume of Shuanghui Group and Shuanghui Investment & Development from 2001 to 2010
Table 5, Hog Farming Capacity of Yurun Group by Slaughterhouse, 2010
Table 6, Hog Slaughtering Capacity of Yurun Group by Slaughterhouse, 2010
Table 7 Hog Slaughtering Capacity of Yurun Group by Slaughterhouse, 2010
Figure 106 Yurun’s Slaughter Volume from 2001 to 2010
Table 8, Hog Slaughtering Capacity of Jinluo Group by Slaughterhouse, 2010
Table 9, Hog Farming Capacity of Zhongpin Group by Slaughterhouse, 2010
Table 10, Hog Slaughtering Capacity of Zhongpin Group by Slaughterhouse, 2010
Table 11 Hog Slaughtering Capacity of Zhongpin Group by Slaughterhouse, 2010
Table 12, Hog Farming Capacity of Tangrenshen Group by Slaughterhouse, 2010
Table 13, Hog Slaughtering Capacity of Tangrenshen Group by Slaughterhouse, 2010
Table 14 Hog Slaughtering Capacity of Tangrenshen Group by Slaughterhouse, 2010
Table 15, Hog Farming Capacity of Delisi Group by Slaughterhouse, 2010
Table 16, Hog Slaughtering Capacity of Delisi Group by Slaughterhouse, 2010
Table 17 Hog Slaughtering Capacity of Delisi Group by Slaughterhouse, 2010
Table 18, Hog Farming Capacity of Gold Kinn Foods by Slaughterhouse, 2010
Table 19, Hog Slaughtering Capacity of Gold Kinn Foods by Slaughterhouse, 2010
Table 20, Hog Slaughtering Capacity of Gold Kinn Foods by Slaughterhouse, 2010

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