Analysis and Forecast on China Feed Industry (2015/2016)

By CnAgri 2016-01-06 11:19:25 Print Tel:861064402035 Email: [email protected]

Price: RMB 16000(English Version) RMB 12000(Chinese Version)

Brief Introduction:

Basic Information:

Table of Contents:

Background
In 2015, due to a downturn of livestock and poultry farming sectors such as a drop in hog stocks and a continuous loss for poultry farming, feed output dropped slightly. China’s macroeconomic growth entered a middle-high-speed growth period instead of a high-speed growth and the development of feed for livestock and poultry also represented new features. Although China’s feed output kept stable with some decline, yet production profit improved. Influenced by an increase in supply at home and abroad, the prices of feed materials such as corn and soybean meal kept falling, of which corn price decreased by 20% year on year; soybean meal price has approached to a low level during the period of financial crisis in 2008, and many listed feed companies’ profits all increased greatly.
 
Economic structural transformation will continue in 2016 and feed producers and livestock/poultry farming companies also will have good developmental opportunities and challenges. This report will represent: main feed materials’ production, consumption and trade; changes in market price in main feed materials; operational situation of feed sector and competitiveness trends about feed sector; operating performance and investment situation of key feed companies; forecast on developmental trends of feed sector in 2016.   
 
BOABC has been paying attention to China’s feed sector for 20 consecutive years and also has been maintaining good relations with governmental departments, associations and key feed companies. Based on accurate and authoritative data, this report will represent scientific forecasts.   
 
BOABC’s report will provide important decision-making to domestic and foreign feed material producers, traders, feed producers and investment companies and also will provide important reference for industrial associations and research institutions.

Chapter 1Chinese Feed Feed industry analysis and forecast
1.1 The Change Of Chinese Feed Production in 2015
1.1.1 2015 Industrial Feed Output Recorded 192 Million MT, down 2.5% Year on Year
1.1.2 Large-Scale Feed Companies’ (Groups’) Output Descended
1.2 The Change Of Chinese Feed Product Structure in 2015
1.2.1 Proportion of Compound Feed in Industrial Feed Output Increased
1.2.2 Concentrated Feed Output Went Down
1.2.3 Additive Premix Feed Output Decreased
1.3 2015 Feed Production And Structural Changes In Different Poultry Species
1.3.1 Hog Feed Output Dropped
1.3.2 Meat Poultry Feed Output Ascended
1.3.3 Egg Poultry Feed Output Fell
1.3.4 Aqua Feed Output Went Down
1.3.5 Output of Compound Feed, Concentrated and Premix Feed for Ruminants Ascended
1.4 Chinese Industrial Feed Prices And Processing Efficiency Changes In 2015
1.4.1 Prices of Feed for Livestock/Poultry Kept Dropping
1.4.2 Processing Margin of Feed for Hog and Poultry Rose
1.5 2016 Chinese Industrial Feed Industry Forecast
1.5.1 Industrial Feed Output to Steadily Go up
1.5.2 Corn Price to Lower
1.5.3 Protein Material Price to Maintain at a Low Level
1.5.4 Industry Consolidation to Be Further Accelerated and Industrial Concentration to be Further Improved
1.5.5 More and More Attention to Capital Operation by Large-Scale Feed Enterprise Groups

Chapter 2China Corn Market Analysis and Forecast
2.1Chinese Corn Market Policy Analysis
2.1.1 Planting Structure was Adjusted, Reducing Corn Planting Areas in Non-dominant Producing Areas
2.1.2 Purchase Price for Temporary Storage was Adjusted down for the First Time in Order to Regulate Corn Market Price
2.1.3 Subsidies for Corn Further Processing Companies Were Increased and Domestic Corn Stocks Reduced
 2.2 Chinese Corn Production
2.2.1  Corn Output down 1.3% Year on Year
2.2.2  Planting Areas Up 2.2% Year on Year and Yield Down 3.4% Year on Year
 2.3 Corn Trading
2.3.1 Corn Import Volume Ascended and Import Price Descended
2.3.2 Corn Import from America Reduced and Corn Import from Ukraine and Southeast Asia Rose
2.4 Corn Demand
2.4.1 Corn Consumption Down 5.5% Year on Year
2.4.2 Feed Output Dropped and Feed Corn Consumption Fell
2.4.3 Operating Rate of Further Processing Companies Went up and Corn Consumption Ascended
2.5 Corn Price
2.6 Replacement Demand For Corn
2.6.1 Owing to an Increase in Demand from Feed, Sorghum Import Ascended
2.6.2 Owing to an Increase in Demand from Feed, S Barley Import Ascended
2.6.3 Wheat Price Increased and Substitution Volume Decreased
2.7 2016 China Corn Market Forecast
2.7.1 Temporary Corn Storage Policy to be Further Reformed and Stocks for Temporary Storage to be Alleviated
2.7.2 Corn Planting Structure Adjustment, Acreage Will Be Reduced
2.7.3 Due to Difference on Domestic and Foreign Price, Corn Import to Ascend Steadily
2.7.4 Along with a Drop in Price for Temporary Storage and Difficulties on Stock Digestion, Corn Price Further to Fal
2.7.5 Owing to a Cheap Price, Cereal Alternative Import Volume to Further Ascend
2.8 Corn Supply and Demand Balance Analysis and Forecast

Chapter 3Plant Protein Feed Market Analysis and Forecast
3.1 Soybean Market Analysis and Forecast
3.1.1 Global Soybean Output Increased and Soybean Meal Output Ascended
3.1.2 Soybean Import Kept Growing
3.1.3 Owing to a Drop in Soybean Meal Price, Soybean Meal Substitute for Miscellaneous Meal Increased
3.1.4 Due to an Increase in Soybean Supply, Soybean Meal Price Kept Decreasing
3.1.5 Owing to Good Harvest of Soybean in America and the Increasing of Soybean Planting Areas in South America, Soybean Meal Price Still to Maintain at a Low Level
3.2 Rapeseed Market Analysis and Forecast
3.2.1 Rapeseed Sowing Areas Reduced and Rapeseed Meal Output Kept Decreasing
3.2.2 Rapeseed Import Decreased and Substitute for Domestic Rapeseed Reduced
3.2.3 Thanks to Good Development of Aquaculture, Demand for Rapeseed Meal Increased
3.2.4  Along with a Drop in Soybean Meal Price, Rapeseed Meal Price Fell
3.2.5 Owing to the Decreasing of Rapeseed Output, Demand for Import to Further Increase
3.3 Cottonseed Meal Market Analysis and Forecast
3.3.1 Cottonseed Output Went Down and Supply was Tight
3.3.2 Sustainable Development of Cattle and Sheep Farming Sectors Drove up Demand for Cottonseed Meal
3.3.3 Soybean Meal Price Dropped and Cottonseed Meal Price also Fell
3.3.4 Along with the Decreasing of Cottonseed Output, Soybean Meal Replaced Some Demand for Cottonseed Meal
3.4 DDGS Market Analysis and Forecast
3.4.1 Owing to a Serious Deficit, Operating Rate of Alcohol Companies Reduced
3.4.2 A Great Number of DDGS Imports Impacted Domestic Market
3.4.3 Due to the Shock of Massive Import, DDGS Price Kept Lowering
3.4.4 Along with a Low Selling Price of Imported DDGS, Import Policies Possibly to be Adjusted
3.5 Chinese Plant Protein Supply and Demand Balance Analysis and Forecast

Chapter 4Animal Protein Feed Market Analysis and Forecast
4.1International Fishmeal Market Analysis and Forecast
4.1.1 Owing to an Increase in Peru’s Fishing Quotas, Fish Meal Output Improved
4.1.2 Peru’s Fish Meal Export Dropped
4.1.3 Owing to an Abundant Supply, Fish Meal Price Fell
4.1.4 Influenced by the El Nino, Fish Meal Price to Increase in 2016
4.2China Fishmeal Market Analysis and Forecast
4.2.1 Fish Meal Output Kept Stable with Some Decline
4.2.2 Fish Meal Import Decreased Year on Year and Export Volume Increased Dramatically
4.2.3 Owing to a Drop in Livestock/Poultry Stocks, Demand for Fish Meal Reduced
4.2.4 Along with a Slow Recovery of Livestock/Poultry Farming, Demand for Fish Meal to Keep Stable with Some Growth
4.3 MBM Market Analysis and Forecast
4.3.1 Meat and Bone Meal Import down Year on Year
4.3.2 A Fall in Fish Meal Price Impacted the Demand for Meat and Bone Meal
4.4Chinese Animal Protein Supply and Demand Balance Analysis and Forecast

Chapter 5Feed Additives Market Analysis and Forecast
5.1Vitamin Market Analysis and Forecast
5.1.1 Owing to an Overcapacity, Vitamin was in an Oversupply
5.1.2 Vitamin Export Increased Year on Year
5.1.3 Along with an Oversupply and a Downturn of Downstream Consumption, Vitamin Price Lowered
5.1.4 Owing to Overcapacity, Vitamin Price to Lower
5.2Lysine Market Analysis and Forecast
5.2.1 Due to an Overcapacity, Lysine Price Kept Decreasing
5.2.2 Lysine Price was Low and Lysine Export Increased Greatly
5.3Methionine Market Analysis and Forecast
5.3.1 Due to the Depression of Farming, Lysine Import Dropped
5.3.2 Owing to an Abundant Supply, Lysine Price still to Decrease

Chapter 6China Feed Industry Enterprise Group Analysis and Forecast
6.1Main Industrial Feed Groups’ Production and Operation
6.1.1 Small and Medium-Sized Feed Companies were Poor-Performed and Large Feed Companies Still Were Expanding
6.2 Analysis on Large Feed Enterprise Groups
6.2.1 Dabeinong Group
6.2.2 Tangrenshen (TRS)
6.2.3 Haid
6.2.4 Zhengbang Group
6.2.5 Twins Group
6.2.6 New Hope Liuhe
6.2.7 CP Group
6.2.8 Wellhope Group
6.2.9 COFCO
6.2.10 Asia-Pacific Zhonghui
6.3 Developmental Forecasts on Feed Companies
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