Analysis and Forecast on China Sugar Industry (2016/2017)

By CnAgri 2016-01-04 10:47:38 Print Tel:861064402035 Email: [email protected]

Price: RMB 16000(English Version) RMB 12000(Chinese Version)

Analysis and Forecast on China Sugar Industry (2016/2017)

Brief Introduction:

Research Background After four campaigns of oversupply in a row, the global sugar market saw insufficient supply in 2015/16. The shortage is predicted to be 5.20 million tons, the insufficiency shall be larger than 5 million tons in the new campaign. Affected by this, the international raw sugar price quickly bounced after hitting a historical low. The average futures price for No. 11 raw milk in New York hit 23.07 US cents/pound by October 2016, up 63% year on year. At the domestic market, there is a serious shrinkage of the acreage of sugar crops due to the continual slip of sugar price and falling profit from farming during the previous two campaigns. The national sugar production stood at 8.702 million tons in 2015/16 campaign, the lowest level in the past decade. However sugar consumption has been growing steadily and it is predicted to be about 15 million tons, the shortage of supply is over 6 million tons, dependence on import could be normal. Since the Government included sugar into the Import Automatic Permission Management, the industry is more disciplined. 2015/16 campaign witnessed 3.728 million tons sugar import, 1.084 million tons less than in 2014/15. However the strict control over sugar import resulted to rampant smuggling across the boarder. The smuggled amount should be 2 million tons during the campaign. The Ministry of Commerce carried out an investigation into the sugar import guarantee measures in September 2016 and this shall last for six months. Domestic sugar price rose steadily during the campaign. The wholesale price index rose from 5300 yuan/ton in the beginning of the year to 6650 yuan/ton in the end of October, up 25.5%. The weighted average selling price for sugar of some producers in certain consuming regions was 5609 yuan/ton, the industry turned losses into gains. In order to ease supply and stabilize sugar price, there was the first auction of the national sugar reserve after five years. The first batch of listed amount was 200,000 tons and the bidding price was about 6900 yuan/ton.

Basic Information:

Both the domestic and foreign sugar industry went through numerous changes in 2016, which have profound impacts on the market in the future. So in 2016/17 campaign: (1) What shall be the sugar supply and demand situation at the international market and what shall be the price trend? (2) How shall be China’s policy on the sugar industry? (3) Will the reduction of sugar crop harvest be reversed in the new campaign? (4) Will sugar import continue to grow in the new campaign? (5) What are the effects of the release of the national sugar reserve? (6) How is sugar consumption in China? (7) How shall starch sugar replace sugar? (8) How shall the competition pattern of the domestic sugar industry evolve? Centering on these issues, starting from the current overall status of the domestic policy, crop growing, processing, consumption and trade and combining the international sugar supply and demand status, there is systematic analysis and combing, and there is summery and prediction on the trend of domestic sugar market. This Report is a reference for decision makers that pay attention to China’s sugar industry.

Table of Contents:

Chapter I The General Situation of Global Market for Sugar
1.1 Overview of Global Sugar Manufacturing Industry
1.2 Analysis of Global Sugar Production and Demand
1.2.1 Global Sugar Production Analysis and Forcast
1.3 Analysis of Consumption of Global Sugar
1.4 Sugar Supply and Demand of Key Producing Countries and Forecast
1.4.1 Brazil
1.4.2 India
1.4.3 USA
1.4.4 European Union
1.4.5 Thailand
1.4.6 Russian
1.5 Global Price Trend and Forecast
Chapter II Analysis of Policy Environment of China’s Sugar Industry
2.1 Development Plan of China’s Sugar Industry
2.1.1 Production and Development Plan on Sugar Cane Growing Regions (2015-2020)
2.1.2 Special Plan for the 5 Million Mu “Four-goal” Sugar Cane Growing Land Rectification Project in Guangxi
2.1.3 Protection Zones for Sugar Crops
2.2 Analysis of Sugar Purchasing and Storage Policy of China’s Sugar Industry
2.3 Analysis of China’s Sugar Materials Purchasing and Pricing Policies
2.4 China’s Trading Polices on Sugar Import & Export
2.4.1 Sugar Import Quota Policy to Continue
2.4.2 Sugar Included into Automatic Import Approval Management
2.4.3 Ministry of Commerce “On Investigation over Protection Measures for Sugar Import”
2.5 Forecast on Policy Change
2.5.1 Targeted Sugar Price Management
2.5.2 Sugar Import Management
2.5.3 Threshold of Sugar Manufacturing Industry
Chapter III General Situation of China’s Sugar Manufacturing Industry
3.1 Industrial Scale
3.2 Revenue from Core Business Sector
3.3 Cost and Profit of Core Business Sector
3.4 Number of Companies Running in Red and Total Loss
Chapter IV Analysis and Forecast of China’s Sugar Crops Production
4.1 Sugarcane Production in China
4.1.1 Sugarcane Planting Area and Yield in China
4.1.2 Distribution of China’s Sugarcane Planting Regions
4.1.3 Sugarcane Planting Varieties in China
4.1.4 Mechanized Planting and Harvesting of Canes in China
4.1.5 Sugarcane Purchasing Price in Main Producing Province
4.1.6 Planting Cost and Benefit from Canes
4.1.7 Cane Farming Trend in China
4.2 Sugar Beet Production in China
4.2.1 Sugar Beet Planting Area and Yield in China
4.2.2 Distribution of China’s Sugar Beet Planting Regions
4.2.3 Sugar Beet Planting Varieties in China
4.2.4 Mechanized Planting and Harvesting of Sugar Beet in China
4.2.5 Sugar Beet Purchasing Price in Main Producing Province
4.2.6 Planting Cost and Benefit from Sugar Beet
4.2.7 Sugar Beet Farming Trend in China
Chapter V Analysis and Forecast of China’s Sugar Production
5.1 China’s Sugar Output
5.1.1 China’s Sugar Total Output and Trend
5.1.2 China’s Sugar Output and Trend by Province
5.2 Distribution and Production Capacity of China’s
5.2.1 Quantity of China’s Grinding Sugar Mills
5.2.2 Daily Grinding Capability of China’s Grinding Sugar Mills
5.3 Other Production Technological and Economic Indicators of China’s Grinding Sugar Mills
5.3.1 China’s Sugar Product Cost
5.3.2 China’s Mixed Sugar Production Ratio by Province
5.4 Raw Sugar Processing Capacity and Layout in China
Chapter VI Analysis and Forecast of China’s Sugar Consumption
6.1 Analysis on China’s Total Sugar Consumption and Prospect
6.1.1 China’s Total Sugar Consumption and Forecast
6.1.2 China’s Sugar Consumption Per Capita
6.2 Analysis on China Food Industry Sugar Consumption
6.3 Sugar Consumption of Chinese Residents
Chapter VII Analysis and Forecast of China’s Sugar Trade
7.1 China’s Sugar Imports
7.1.1 China’s Sugar Imports and Trend
7.1.2 China’s Granulated Sugar Imports by Country
7.1.3 China’s Raw Sugar Imports by Country
7.2 China’s Sugar Imports by Enterprise
7.2.1 China’s Granulated Sugar Imports by Enterprise
7.2.2 China’s Raw Sugar Imports by Enterprise
7.3 China’s Sugar Imports by Port
7.4 China’s Sugar Imports by Province
7.5 China’s Sugar Exports
7.5.1 China’s Sugar Exports and Trend
7.5.2 China’s Raw Sugar Exports by Country
7.5.3 China’s Granulated Sugar Exports by Country
7.6 Analysis and Prediction of China’s Net Import of Sugar
7.6.1 Changes in Net Imports of Sugar
7.6.2 China’s Sugar Imports to Reduce
Chapter VIII Analysis and Forecast of the Production, Consumption of China’s Sugar Substitutes
8.1 Analysis on China’s Starch Sugar Output and Trend
8.1.1 China’s Starch Sugar Output
8.1.2 China’s Starch Sugar Consumption and Prospect
8.2 Analysis on China’s Saccharin Production and Consumption
8.3 Impact of Sugar Substitutes on the Sugar Industry
8.3.1 Starch Sugar
8.3.2 Saccharin
8.3.3 Other Main sugar substitute
Chapter IX Analysis and Forecast of Sugar Supply and Demand Balance
Chapter X Analysis and Forecast of Sugar Price
10.1 China’s Domestic Sugar Price
10.1.1 Price Index of Sugar Wholesale Markets in China
10.1.2 The Wholesale Price of White Granulated Sugar of China’s Major Producing Areas
10.1.3 The Wholesale Price of White Granulated Sugar of China’s Major Selling Areas
10.1.4 China’s Imported Sugar CIF
10.1.5 China’s Imported Raw Sugar CIF
10.2 International Sugar Price
10.2.1 Futures Prices of New York No. 11 Raw Sugar in Recent Months
10.2.2 Comparison of Domestic Sugar Price and Imported Sugar Price
10.3 Factors Affecting Sugar Price Trend in China
Chapter XI China’s Major Sugar Enterprise (Groups)
11.1 Bright Food (Group)
11.1.1 Business Movement
11.1.2 Industrial Distribution
11.2 COFCO Tunhe
11.2.1 Business Movement
11.2.2 Industrial Distribution
11.3 Guangxi Nanhua Sugar Industry Group
11.3.1 Business Movement
11.3.2 Industrial Distribution
11.4 Guangxi Nanning Dongya Sugar Industry Group
11.4.1 Business Movement
11.4.2 Industrial Distribution
11.5 Guangxi Donta Group
11.5.1 Business Movement
11.5.2 Industrial Distribution
11.6 Guangxi State Farms Sugar Industrial Group
11.6.1 Business Movement
11.6.2 Industrial Distribution
11.7 Nanning Sugar Industry Co. Ltd.
11.7.1 Business Movement
11.7.2 Industrial Distribution
11.8 Guangxi Guitang Group
11.8.1 Business Movement
11.8.2 Industrial Distribution
11.9 Guangdong Hengfu Sugar Industry Group
11.9.1 Business Movement
11.9.2 Industrial Distribution

 
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