Review and Outlook of China’s Dairy Industry 2012/2013

This report illustrates in a panorama way the situation of China’s dairy industry in 2012 including production of raw milk and processed products, dairy consumption, dairy trade, price trend of raw milk and processed products, operational status of the dairy industry, the competition of the dairy market, the revenue of key dairy companies and investment. The report also covers the trend of the world dairy market; production, consumption and trade of the key dairy producing and trade countries; the impact from the world dairy market to China’s dairy industry and forecast on the trend of China’s dairy industry in 2013.

Chapter 1 Policy Environment for China’s Dairy Industry in 2012
1.1 Overview of Relevant Policies, Standards and Plans
1.2 Policy    
1.2.1 Contents of “Prospering Dairy Farming Alfalfa Development Action” from MOA and MOF and Impacts on Dairy Industry      
1.2.2 Contents of “Circular on Further Support to Farming Insurance Premium Subsidy” from MOF (MOF Finance [2012] No. 2) and impacts
1.2.3 Contents of “Circular on National Subsidy for Livestock Elite Breeds” from MOF and Impacts 
1.2.4 Contents of “Circular on Experimenting Methods of Produce VAT Input Tax Deduction in Certain Sectors” from MOF and State Taxation Bureau (MOF Tax [2012] No. 38) and Impacts
1.2.5 Content of “Labeling of Pre-packed Special-diet Food (draft)” from MOH and Impacts
1.2.6 Contents of “Experiment on “Voluntary Report” of Dairy Companies” from AQSIQ and Impacts
1.3 Plan
1.3.1 “12^th Five Year Development Plan for Food Industry” from NDRC and MOII
1.4 Standard
1.4.1 “12^th Five Year Plan for National Food Safety Standard (draft)” from MOH
 
Note: MOA: Ministry of Agriculture, MFA: Ministry of Finance, AQSIQ: State Administration of Quality Supervision, Inspection and Quarantine, MOII: Ministry of Information Industry, NDRC: National Development and Reform Commission, MOH: Ministry of Health)
 
Chapter 2 Production of China’s Dairy Industry in 2012
2.1 Raw Milk     
2.1.1 Overview
2.1.2 Dairy Cattle Inventory
2.1.3 Raw Milk Production
2.1.4 Layout of Dairy Farming Regions
2.1.5 Raw Milk Procurement Price
2.1.6 Dairy Cattle Farming Modes
2.1.7 Dairy Cattle Farming Margin
2.1.8 Feed Price
2.1.9 Forage Grass Price
2.2 Dairy Processing
2.2.1 Liquid Milk
2.2.2 Solid Dairy Products
2.2.3 Raw Material Milk Powder
2.2.4 Infant/young Child’s Formula Milk Powder
2.2.5 Other Solid Dairy Products
 
Chapter 3 Trade of Milk-based Raw Materials and Other Related Products in China in 2012
3.1 Dairy Import
3.1.1 Overview
3.1.2 Import Composition
3.2 Milk Powder Import
3.2.1 Import Quantity
3.2.2 Source of Import
4.2.3 Destination of Imported Products
3.2.4 Import Price
3.2.5 Web Quote on Full-cream Milk Powder and Skim Powder from Fonterra
3.3 Whey Import
3.3.1 Import Quantity
3.3.2 Source of Import
3.3.3 Destination of Imported Products
3.3.4 Import Price
3.4 Import of Milk Fat Products
3.4.1 Import Quantity
3.4.2 Source of Import
3.4.3 Import Price
3.5 Cheese Import
3.5.1 Import Quantity
3.5.2 Source of Import
3.5.3 Import Price
3.6 Fresh Dairy Import
3.6.1 Import Quantity
3.6.2 Source of Import
3.6.3 Import Price
3.7 Yogurt Import
3.7.1 Import Quantity
3.7.2 Import Price
3.8 Lactose Import
3.9 Milk Protein Import
3.10 Import of Infant/young Child’s Formula Milk Powder
3.11 Import of Dairy Cattle, Their Gene Products and Feed
3.11.1 Elite-breed Cattle, Frozen Semen and Embryos
3.11.2 Alfalfa
3.12 Dairy Export
3.12.1 Overview
3.12.2 Export Structure
3.12.3 Fresh Milk
3.12.4 Milk Powder
 
Chapter 4 Dairy Consumption in China in 2012
4.1 Overview
4.2 Dairy Consumption Structure of Urban Residents
4.3 Dairy Consuming Regions of Urban Residents
4.3.1 Overview of National Urban Areas
4.3.2 36 Large and Medium Cities
4.4 Dairy Consumption of Rural Residents
4.5 Dairy Retail Price
4.5.1 Fresh Milk and Yogurt
4.5.2 Milk Powder
4.6 Market Capacity of Infant/young Child’s Formula Milk Powder
4.6.1 National Status
4.6.2 36 Large and Medium Cities
4.7 Other Factors Affecting Dairy Price 
4.7.1 White Sugar Price
4.7.2 CPI     
4.7.3 RMB Exchange Rate
4.7.4 Oil Price
 
Chapter 5 Competition of China’s Dairy market in 2012
5.1 Overview
5.2 Raw Milk
5.3 Infant/young Child’s Formula Milk Powder
5.3.1 Market Environment
5.3.2 Market Share of Main Competing Brands
5.4 Liquid Milk
5.4.1 UHT Products
5.4.2 Low-temperature Products
 
Chapter 6 Key Dairy Companies in 2012
6.1 Overview of Consolidation of Dairy Companies       
6.2 Key Players
6.2.1 Yili
6.2.2 Mengniu
6.2.3 Bright Dairy
6.2.4 Sanyuan Food
6.2.5 Wondersun Dairy
6.2.6 Huishan Dairy
6.2.7 Feihe Dairy
6.2.8 Beingmate
6.2.9 Mead Johnson
6.2.10 Dumex
 
Chapter 7 Development of China’s Dairy Processing Industry in 2012     
7.1 Overview
7.2 Operational Efficiency of Dairy Industry
7.3 Forecast on Dairy Production Capacity in Coming 3-5 Years       
 
Chapter 8 World Dairy Market Situation in 2012
8.1 Overview
8.1.1 Brief of World Economy in 2012
8.1.2 Gross Dairy Demand in the World
8.1.3 Global Raw Milk and Dairy Production
8.1.4 Dairy Price
8.1.5 Forecast of Global Dairy Market in 2013
8.2 Dairy Market Situation of Key Dairy Producing and Trade Countries in 2012
8.2.1 New Zealand
8.2.2 Australia
8.2.3 USA
8.2.4 EU
8.2.5 India
 
Chapter 9 Outlook of China’s Dairy Industry in 2013
9.1 Overview     
9.2 Raw Milk Production
9.2.1 Dairy Cattle Inventory
9.2.2 Milk Production
9.2.3 Layout of Dairy Farming
9.3 Dairy Processing
9.3.1 Main Dairy Products 
9.3.2 Other Dairy Products
9.4 Dairy Trade
9.4.1 Import
9.4.2 Export
9.5 Raw Milk and Dairy Price
9.5.1 Raw Milk
9.5.2 Dairy Products
9.6 Dairy Consumption   
9.7 Competition Pattern of Dairy Market
 
Annexes     
Annex 1 Equilibrium of Milk in China, 2011-2013
Annex 2 Equilibrium of Full-cream Milk Powder in China, 2011-2013
Annex 3 Equilibrium of Skim Milk Powder in China, 2011-2013
 
Charts and Tables
Fig 2-1 Changes of Dairy Cattle Inventory in China, 1997-2011   
Fig 2-2 Changes of Milk Production in China, 1997-2012
Fig 2-3 Trend of Raw Milk Price of Ten Main Farming Provinces in the Nation, 2008-2012
Fig 2-4 Trend of Proportion of Dairy Farming Households in Deficit, by Month, 2009-2012
Fig 2-5 Weekly Trend of Average Wholesale Price for Corn and Soymeal in China, 2010-2012
Fig 2-6 Changes of Liquid Milk Production in China, 2000-2012
Fig 2-7 Liquid Milk Production and Changing Trend in China, by Month, 2005-2012
Fig 2-8 Proportion on Provincial Liquid Milk Production in National Total, 2012
Fig 2-9 Comparison of Provincial Liquid Milk Production, 2012
Fig 2-10 Composition of Liquid Milk, 2000-2012
Fig 2-11 Changes of Production of Different Varieties of Liquid Milk in China, 2000-2012
Fig 2-12 Trend of Production of Solid Dairy Products, 1997-2012
Fig 2-13 Regional Production of Solid Dairy Products in China, 1998-2012
Fig 2-14 Proportion of Provincial Solid Dairy Production in National Total, 2012
Fig 2-15 Trend of Milk Powder Production in China, 1997-2012
Fig 2-16 Proportion of Provincial Milk Powder Production in National Total, 2012
Fig 2-17 Trend of Production of Full-cream Milk Powder and Skim Powder, 1999-2012
Fig 3-1 Structural Changes of Dairy Import to China, by Quantity, 2009-2012
Fig 3-2 Monthly Milk Powder Import Trend, by Month, 2005-2012
Fig 3-3 CIF Trend of Milk Powder Import to China, by Month, 2005-2012
Fig 3-4 Changes of Fonterra Web Auction Price (FOB) for Full-cream Milk Powder, 2008-2012
Fig 3-5 CIF Trend of Whey Import to China, by Month, 2005-2012
Fig 3-6 Origins of Milk Fat Import and Changes, 2003-2012
Fig 3-7 CIF Trend of Butter and Anhydrous Milk Fat Import, 2005-2012
Fig 3-8 Structure of Cheese Import to China (by Quantity), 2012
Fig 3-9 Trend of Cheese Import to China (by Quantity), 2000-2012
Fig 3-10 CIF Trend of Cheese Import to China, 2004-2012
Fig 3-11 Structure of Fresh Milk Import to China (by Milk Fat Content and Quantity), 2012
Fig 3-12 CIF Trend of Different Fresh Milk Import to China, 2002-2012
Fig 3-13 CIF Price for Lactose Import to China, by Month, 2005-2012
Fig 3-14 CIF Price for Milk Protein Import to China, 2000-2012
Fig 3-15 Import Quantity of Infant/young Child’s Formula Milk Powder and CIF Trend to China, 2000-2012
Fig 3-16 Composition of Origins of Infant/young Child’s Formula Milk Powder Import to China, 2012
Fig 3-17 Composition of Dairy Export from China (by Quantity), 2012
Fig 3-18 Destinations of Milk Powder Export from China (by Quantity), 2012
Fig 4-1 Per Capita Dairy Consumption Quantity of Residents in the 36 Large and Medium Cities in China, by Quarter, 2005-2012
Fig 4-2 Structure of Dairy Consumption (by Quantity) of Residents in the 36 Large and Medium Cities in China, by Quarter, 2005-2012
Fig 4-3 Structure of Dairy Consumption (by Expenditure) of Residents in the 36 Large and Medium Cities in China, by Quarter, 2005-2012
Fig 4-4 Per Capita Milk and Dairy Consumption of Rural Residents in China, 1992-2012
Fig 4-5 Price Trend of Fresh Milk and Yogurt of the 36 Large and Medium Cities in the Nation, by Quarter, 2005-2012
Fig 4-6 Price Trend of Small-pack Milk Powder of the 36 Large and Medium Cities in the Nation, by Quarter, 2005-2012
Fig 4-7 Price Trend of International and Domestic Famous Brands of Infant/young Child’s Formula Milk Powder, 2009-2012
Fig 4-8 Regional Layout of Number of Infants and Young Children and Market Capacity (by Consumption Quantity) of Infant/young Child’s Formula Milk Powder of the 36 Large and Medium Cities, 2012
Fig 4-9 Weekly Average Price (Price at Production Venue) for White Granulated Sugar in China, 2005-2012
Fig 4-10 CPI Growing Trend in China, by Month, 2008-2012
Fig 4-11 48-month Trend of USD and RMB Exchange Rate, 2008-2012
Fig 4-12 Price Trend of International Crude Oil, 2012
Fig 5-1 Market Share of Famous Brands of Infant/young Child’s Formula Milk Powder in China, by Sales Volume, 2009-2012
Fig 5-2 Trend of Market Share of Major Brands of UHT Milk in China, 2010-2012
Fig 5-3 Trend of Market Share of Major Brands of Low-temperature Milk in China, 2010-2012
Fig 8-1 EU Export Price for Dairy Products (FAS), 2009-2012
Fig 8-2 USA Monthly Export Price for Dairy Products (FAS), 2009-2012
Fig 8-3 Fonterra Web Weighted Average Trading Price for Full-cream Milk Powder (FAS), 2008-2012
Fig 8-4 Fonterra Web Weighted Average Trading Price for Skim Milk Powder (FAS), 2008-2012
Fig 8-5 New Zealand Raw Milk Production, Dairy Cattle Inventory and Average Milk Price (Farm Price)
Fig 8-6 New Zealand Dairy Export, 1999-2011
Fig 8-7 Australian Dairy Farming (liters/cow), 2002/03-2012/13
Fig 8-8 USA Raw Milk Price Trend, by Quarter, 2009-2012
 
Table 3-1 Dairy Import to China, 2011-2012
Table 3-2 Origins of Milk Powder to China and Changes, by Quantity, 2009-2012
Table 3-3 Destinations of Milk Powder Import to China (by Quantity), 2012
Table 3-4 Origins of Whey Import and Changes of Their Proportion in National Total Import, 2009-2012
Table 3-5 Destinations of Whey Import to China (by Quantity), 2009-2012
Table 4-6 Origins of Cheese Import to China, 2012
Table 3-7 Origins of Fresh Dairy Import to China, 2012
Table 3-8 Import Quantity of Elite-breed Cattle and Their Bio Products to China, 2008-2012
Table 3-9 Import Price for Elite-breed Cattle and Their Bio Products, 2008-2012
Table 3-10 Trend of Alfalfa Import to China, 2009-2012
Table 3-11 Dairy Export from China, 2009-2012
Table 4-1 Per Capita Dairy Possession Quantity of Chinese Residents, 1992-2012
Table 4-2 Per Capita Dairy Consumption Quantity of Residents in the 36 Large and Medium Cities, 2006-2012
Table 4-3 Changes of Per Capita Expenditure on Dairy Consumption of Residents in the 36 Large and Medium Cities, by Quarter, 2006-2012
Table 4-4 Changes of Per Capita dairy Consumption (total) of Residents in the 36 Large and Medium Cities, 2009-2011
Table 4-5 Changes of Per Capita Fresh Milk Consumption of Residents in the 36 Large and Medium Cities, 2009-2012
Table 4-6 Changes of Per Capita Yogurt Consumption of Residents in the 36 Large and Medium Cities, 2009-2011      
Table 4-7 Changes of Per Capita Milk Powder Consumption of Residents in the 36 Large and Medium Cities, 2009-2011   
Table 6-1 Total Profit of Yili, 2012
Table 6-2 Core Business and Operation of Yili, 2012
Table 6-3 Regional Status of Core Business of Yili, 2012
Table 6-4 Profit of Mengniu, 2012
Table 6-5 Revenue of Different Products of Mengniu, 2012
Table 6-6 Total Profit of Bright Dairy, 2012
Table 6-7 Core Business and Operation of Bright Dairy, 2012
Table 6-8 Regional Status of Core Business of Bright Dairy, 2012
Table 6-9 Margin of Main Sub Companies of Bright Dairy, 2012
Table 6-10 Total Profit of Sanyuan Food, 2012
Table 6-11 Core Business and Operation of Sanyuan Food, 2012
Table 6-12 Regional Status of Core Business of Sanyuan Food, 2012
Table 6-13 Profit of Main Sub Companies of Sanyuan Food, 2012
Table 6-14 Production and Operation of Wondersun, 2009-2012  
Table 6-15 Production and Operation of Huishan Dairy, 2009-2012
Table 6-16 Revenue of Feihe Dairy, by Quarter, 2010-2012
Table 6-17 Production of Feihe Dairy, 2009-2012
Table 6-18 Financial Status of Beingmate, 2008-2012
Table 6-19 Core Business and Operation of Beingmate, 2012
Table 6-20 Regional Status of Core Business of Beingmate, 2012
Table 6-21 Margin of Main Sub Companies of Beingmate, 2012
Table 6-22 Production Equipment of Beingmate Infant/young Child’s Formula Milk Powder  
Table 6.23 Production of Mead Johnson (China), 2008-2012
Table 6-24 Production of Dumex, 2008-2012
Table 6-25 Extension of Technology and Products of Dumex in China
Table 7-1 Indices of China’s Dairy Industrial Development, 2002-2012
Table 7-2 Asset Management Ratio of Dairy Industry, 2002-2012
Table 7-3 Production of Main Dairy Products and Capacity Utilization Rate, 2011
Table 8-1 Milk Procurement Price of Dairy Farmers’ Cooperatives in New Zealand
Table 8-2 Margin of Dairy Farming in New Zealand
Table 8-3 New Zealand Dairy Export Market, 2009-2012
Table 8-4 New Zealand Raw Milk Supply and Demand , 2011-2013
Table 8-5 New Zealand Full-cream Milk Powder Supply and Demand, 2011-2013
Table 8-7 New Zealand Cheese Supply and Demand, 2011-2013
Table 8-8 New Zealand Butter Supply and Demand, 2011-2013
Table 8-9 Australian Raw Milk Supply and Demand, 2011-2013
Table 8-10 Australian Full-cream Milk Powder Supply and Demand, 2011-2013
Table 8-11 Australian Skim Powder Supply and Demand, 2011-2013
Table 8-12 Australian Butter Supply and Demand, 2011-2013
Table 8-13 Australian Cheese Supply and Demand, 2011-2013
Table 8-14 American Raw Milk Production Trend, 2011-2012
Table 8-15 Trend of Production of Some Dairy Products in USA, 2011-2012
Table 8-16 Trend of FAS Price Trend for Some Dairy Products in USA, 2011-2012
Table 8-17 Raw Milk Supply and Demand of EU 27 Countries, 2011-2013
Table 8-18 Cheese Supply and Demand of EU 27 Countries, 2011-2013
Table 8-19 Butter Supply and Demand of EU 27 Countries, 2011-2013
Table 8-20 Skim Powder Supply and Demand of EU 27 Countries, 2011-2013
Table 8-21 Full-cream Milk Powder Supply and Demand of EU 27 Countries, 2011-2013
Table 8-22 Indian Raw Milk Supply and Demand, 2011-2013
Table 8-23 Indian Skim Powder Supply and Demand, 2011-2013
Table 8-24 Indian Butter Supply and Demand, 2011-2013