2015 Report on Hog Industry of China

By CnAgri 2016-05-24 17:01:30 Print Tel:861064402035 Email: [email protected]

Price: RMB40000(English Version) RMB30000(Chinese Version)

2015 Report on Hog Industry of China-Part1

Brief Introduction:

In terms of the urban and rural structure of pork consumption, although the average consumption volume of per urban household is beginning to slow down, the consumption of meat products and outdoor consumption has grown fast, hence the proportion of pork consumption in urban areas continued to grow from 43% in 2000 to 64% in 2015, and this proportion may rise to over 70% in 2015. Currently the state proposes that the increase of residents’ income shall be faster and the income gap shall be narrowed, and the low-income residents shall enjoy a favorable state in the distribution. In this way, the low-income residents are hoperfully to enjoy a faster income increase, which makes it possible for them to realize their potential need of meat. Although the average consumption volume of per urban household is beginning to slow down, the total meat consumption of urban household will continue to rise along with the urbanization progress. In the rural area, the pork consumption per household increases fast, yet the sum total of pork consumption in rural areas will keep in low increase rate as the urbanization causes the sharp fall of rural population.

Basic Information:

The trend is falling of per capita consumption but rising of gross consumption of urban residents, and constant growth of per capita consumption and gross consumption of rural residents; continual growth of household consumption but decline of proportion in the total; growth of both volume and proportion of industrial and outdoor consumption; and pork consumption shall be mainly by urban residents in terms of the urban and rural consumption structure.

Table of Contents:

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Chapter 1 Report Overview
Chapter 2 Chinese Hog Industry Policy and Trend   
2.1 China’s Support Policy for Hog Breeding
2.2 Animal Epidemic Situation and Epidemic Prevention System and Its Influence
2.3 Bio-safety Disposal of Dead and Diseased Pigs
2.4 Chinese Hog Slaughtering Industry Policy and Its Trend
2.5 Environmental Protection Policy of Breeding Industry
2.6 Land Reform Policy and Its Influence
2.7 Chinese Pork Trade Policy and Its Influence
Chapter 3 Production Situation and Future Trend of China’s Hog Industry
3.1 Breeding Pig Inventory
3.2 Hog Slaughter and Pork Output
3.3 Breeding Structure
3.4 Production Mode
   3.4.1 Chinese Hog Breeding Mode
   3.4.2 MUYUAN’s Integrated Mode of Breeding, Propagating and Raising Pigs by Itself
3.4.3 WENS Group’s “Company + Farmer” Mode
3.5 Chinese Hog Industry Development Trend in the Future
   3.5.1 Reproductive Sow Inventory Trend
   3.5.2 Trend of Hog Slaughter and Pork Output
   3.5.3 Hog Breeding Scale Trend
   3.5.4 Hog Development Mode Trend
Chapter 4 Chinese Protein Consumption Structure and Trend
4.1 Resident Consumption Structure of Animal Protein
4.2 Consumption Structure of Pork and Its Development Trend
   4.2.1 Pork Consumption
   4.2.2 Consumption Structure of Pork by Different Ways
   4.2.3 Urban and Rural Consumption Structure of Pork
   4.2.4 Pork Price Level
4.3 Outlook on China’s Pork Consumption
   4.3.1 Influence of Resident Income Growth on Pork Consumption
   4.3.2 Influence of Urbanization Process on Pork Consumption
   4.3.3 Influence of Population Increase on Pork Consumption
   4.3.4 Forecast on Growth Potential of Chinese Pork Consumption
4.4 China’s Pork Import and Export Prospect Analysis
   4.4.1 Future Pork Demand Analysis of Major Destination Countries and Regions of Export
   4.4.2 Influence of International Pork Production Cost on China’s Pork Export
   4.4.3 Influence of Major Destination Countries and Regions’ Trade Policy on China’s Pork Export
   4.4.4 Forecast on China’s Pork Export Demand
4.5 Analysis of the Influence of Substitute Goods Development on Pork Consumption
Chapter 5 Chinese Pig Products Trade Situation and Trend
5.1 Breeding Pig Import
   5.1.1 Breeding Pig Import Trend in Past 15 Years
   5.1.2 Source Countries of Import and Import Enterprises
5.2 Live Pig Import and Export
5.3 Pork Import and Export
   5.3.1 Cold Fresh Frozen Pork Import and Export
   5.3.2 Frozen Pig Entrails Import and Export
5.4 Pork Trade’s Influence on Domestic Hog Industry
   5.4.1 The Growth of Global Pork Supply Slows Down
   5.4.2 The Proportion of Global Pork Trade Only Is 6.5%
   5.4.3 The Growth Rate of Pork Output of Major Destinations Slows Down, Pork Export Volume Is Stable Relatively
   5.4.4 China’s Import Volume of Pork Increases Slowly, but It Has Little Influence on Domestic Market
Chapter 6 Current Situation and Trend of Chinese Pig Feed Market
6.1 Chinese Feed Supply Structure Analysis
6.2 Chinese Pig Feed Output and Price Analysis
6.3 Analysis of Corn Material Supply
6.3.1 Analysis on China’s Potential of Corn Production
6.3.2 Structure of China’s Corn Consumption
6.3.3 Competition for Materials between Corn Deep-processing Industry and Feed Industry
6.3.4 The Impact of China’s Restriction for Corn Deep-processing on Its Feed Consumption of Corn
6.3.5 Constraints of Corn Feed Supply on Hog Farming
6.3.6 Evaluation on the Comprehensive Supply Capacity of Corn Material for Hog Farming
6.4 Evaluation on the Supply Capacity of Soymeal
6.4.1 Analysis on Soybean Production Potential in China
6.4.2 Analysis on the Reliability of Soybean Import
6.4.3 Constraint on Hog Farming by Soymeal Supply
6.4.4 Evaluation on the Comprehensive Supply Capacity of Soymeal Material
6.5 Future Trend of Pig Feed Market
Chapter 7 Cost-benefit Analysis on the Value Chain of China’s Hog Industry
7.1 Structural Analysis on the Value Chain of Hog Industry
7.1.1 Cost-benefit Analysis on Hog Feed Production and Prediction
7.1.2 Cost-Benefit Analysis of Breeding Sows and Estimates of Hog Farming
7.1.3 Cost-Benefit Analysis and Forecasts of Hog Farming in Different Regions
7.1.4 Cost-Benefit Analysis and Estimates of Hog Farming in Different Scales
7.1.5 Cost-Benefit Analysis and Estimates of Standardized Hog Farming
7.1.6 Cost-Benefit Analysis and Estimates of Live Hog Transportation
7.1.7 Cost-Benefit Analysis and Forecasts of Hog Slaughtering
7.1.8 Cost-Benefit Analysis of Pork Products and Forecast
7.1.9 Structural Analysis on Value Chain of Hog Farming Industry in China
7.2 Evaluation on the Interest Distribution Rationality of Value Chain of Hog Farming Industry
Chapter 8 Analysis of China’s Major Hog Enterprises
8.1 Shineway Group
   8.1.1 Basic Information
   8.1.2 Main Business
   8.1.3 Development Direction
   8.1.4 Business Model Analysis
8.2 Wens Group
   8.2.1 Basic Information
   8.2.2 Main Business
   8.2.3 Development Direction
   8.2.4 Business Model Analysis
8.3 MuYuan Group
   8.3.1 Basic Information
   8.3.2 Main Business
   8.3.3 Development Direction
   8.3.4 Business Model Analysis
8.4 TRUEIN AGRO-PASTORAL Group
   8.4.1 Basic Information
   8.4.2 Main Business
   8.4.3 Development Direction
   8.4.4 Business Model Analysis
8.5 TRS Group
   8.5.1 Basic Information
   8.5.2 Main Business
   8.5.3 Development Direction
   8.5.4 Business Model Analysis
8.6 Ningbo TECH-BANK
   8.6.1 Basic Information
   8.6.2 Main Business
   8.6.3 Development Direction
   8.6.4 Business Model Analysis
8.7 Zhengbang Group
   8.7.1 Basic Information
   8.7.2 Main Business
   8.7.3 Development Direction
   8.7.4 Business Model Analysis
8.8 COFCO
   8.7.1 Basic Information
   8.7.2 Main Business
   8.7.3 Development Direction
   8.7.4 Business Model Analysis
Chapter 9 Analysis of China’s Major Hog Enterprises
9.1 The Driving Force of China’s Hog Industry
9.2 Unfavorable Factors for the Development of China’s Hog Industry
9.3 Comprehensive Evaluation on the Development of China’s Hog Industry
 

4 Analysis of Prospect of Pork Consumption in China

4.1 Trend of China’s Meat Consumption

Along with the improvement of the national economy and people’s living standard, per capita meat consumption rose from 49.9 KG in 2000 to 56.5 KG in 2015, with an average growth rate of 1.25%.Of all the meat, consumption of pork rose from 33 KG in 2000 to 36 KG in 2015, with an average growth rate of 0.87%. The shortage of beef & mutton supply and the rise of the prices since 2006 casued the decrease of beef & mutton, while the poultry meat consumption rose from 10 KG in 2000 to 13.4 KG in 2015 with an average growth of 3.44%.
 
The constant growth of meat consumption indicates the following trend of consumption:
1. The proportion of grain and vegetable consumption of Chinese residents is declining while the proportion of livestock and aquatic products is rising. In 2000, the average livestock consumption per household accounted for 8% of the average grain consumption per household; in 2015, such proportion rised to 12%; in 2015, its proportion shall rise to 14%.
 
2. The proportion of pork consumption falls continually to account for a lower proportion, whereas the proportion of poultry meat is on the rise. Although meat consumption in China is mainly pork, with a small proportion of poultry meat, eggs and beef/mutton, yet the proportion of pork consumption in the total fell from 64% in 2000 to 49% in 2015, whereas the proportion of poultry meat consumption in the total rose from 9.5% in 2000 to 21.86% in 2015. Till 2015, the proportion of pork in the livestock consumption shall fall to 46%. However, the average per capita consumption of pork at home will be more than 19 KG, while the average per capita consumption of pork at home was only 14.5 KG.

Fig 1, Changes of Consumption of Animal Products and Aquatic Products in Each Household from 2000-2015

 

4.2 Structure of Pork Consumption and Its Development Trend in China

In the constant growth of China’s pork consumption, both the consumption structure and ways of consumption changed remarkably. These changes indicated the trend of future pork consumption, which are mainly reflected in the following aspects:
1. The growth of per capita pork consumption at home is much lower than the growth of industrial consumption or outdoor consumption. From 2000 to 2015, the annual average growth of gross pork consumption in China has been around 4.80%. The growth of industrial consumption at the annual rate of 11.67% has been the fastest; the growth of outdoor consumption has been 8.71%, and the growth of household consumption, barely 3.06%, which is the slowest.
2. The proportion of fresh pork consumption continued to decline, whereas the proportion of meat products consumption has been on the rise. From 2000 to 2015, the proportion of fresh pork consumption fell from 90.66% to 81.96%; whereas the proportion of consumption of meat products rose from 9.34% to 18.04%; the proportion of consumption of meat products will reach 23% by 2015.
 

Fig 2, Consumption Structure of Fresh Pork and Meat Products from 2000-2015

 

Fig 3, Consumption Structure of Fresh Pork and Meat Products in 2015

 
 
In terms of the urban and rural structure of pork consumption, although the average consumption volume of per urban household is beginning to slow down, the consumption of meat products and outdoor consumption has grown fast, hence the proportion of pork consumption in urban areas continued to grow from 43% in 2000 to 64% in 2015, and this proportion may rise to over 70% in 2015.
 
Currently the state proposes that the increase of residents’ income shall be faster and the income gap shall be narrowed, and the low-income residents shall enjoy a favorable state in the distribution. In this way, the low-income residents are hoperfully to enjoy a faster income increase, which makes it possible for them to realize their potential need of meat. Although the average consumption volume of per urban household is beginning to slow down, the total meat consumption of urban household will continue to rise along with the urbanization progress.  In the rural area, the pork consumption per household increases fast, yet the sum total of pork consumption in rural areas will keep in low increase rate as the urbanization causes the sharp fall of rural population. 
 
The trend is falling of per capita consumption but rising of gross consumption of urban residents, and constant growth of per capita consumption and gross consumption of rural residents; continual growth of household consumption but decline of proportion in the total; growth of both volume and proportion of industrial and outdoor consumption; and pork consumption shall be mainly by urban residents in terms of the urban and rural consumption structure.
 
The futrue trend of China’s pork consumption is that the pork consumption quantity per family shall keep rising while the pproportion of pork shall decline; the quantity and proportion of industrial and outdoor pork consumption shall both keep on increasing. In terms of the urban and rural structure, the future pork consumption shall mainly be urban consumption. The increase of pork consumption per urban household shall slow down while the total consumption shall increase.The pork consumption per rural household and the total consumption shall both keep on rising.

Fig 4, Urban and Rural Structure of Pork Consumption, 2000-2015


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