Soybean Industry Research & Development Forecast in China (2014-2020)

By CnAgri 2018-06-01 16:51:22 Print Tel:861064402118-822 Email: chen.wang@boabc.com

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Brief Introduction:

Soybean is a variety with the largest imports among all agricultural products in China. China’s soybean imports only recorded 10.42 million tons in 2000 but grew to 58.4 million tons in 2012. Soybean imports reached 63.38 million tons in 2013, accounting for 60% of the world’s total volume of trade. China’s soybean industrial development has become the global focus of the insiders Based on soybean production, crushing, market and its product market, the major crushing enterprises’ operation in 2013, this report is an in-depth study of the future soybean demand in China as well as the development tendency of China’s soybean crushing industry in order to help the insiders fully and deeply understand soybean industry development situation, problems and the future development prospects.

Table of Contents:

Part One: Soybean Production Change and Forecast in China
1.1 Soybean Plant Area Continuously Decline in 2014
1.2 Foreseen Soybean Output 12.5 Million MT in 2014
1.3 China Carry out Soybean Target Price System in Main Production Regions to Protect Farmers’ Benefits
1.4 Non-GMO soybean Is A Critical Advantage to Improve Domestic Soybean’S Competitiveness
 
Part Two: Analysis of China Soybean Crushing Industry in 2014
2.1 China’s Soybean Crushing Capacity at 464,000 MT/day, Rate of Operation at 50%
2.2 Soybean Crushing Projects under Construction and in Contemplation
2.3 21 Soybean Crushing Enterprise Groups Take 80% of the Soybean Effective Crushing Capacity in China
2.4 Shandong, Heilongjiang, Jiangsu, Guangdong and Guangxi: the Top 5 Soybean Crushing Capacity
 
Part Three: Changes in Soybean Market in China in 2014
3.1 China Soybean Imports reached 71.4 Million Tons, up 8 Million Tons from 2013
3.2 Soybean Import Cost Falls Down After Increase in 2014
3.3 Domestic Soybean Price Decreased Slightly in 2014
 
Part Four: Changes in Soybean Oil Market in China in 2014
4.1 Features of China Vegoil Supply-Demand in 2013/2014
4.1.1 Domestic Vegoil Output at 22.8 Million Tons in 2013/2014
4.1.2 China Vegoil Import 
4.1.3 Vegoil Consumption in China
4.1.4 Proportion of Vegoil Imports in Total Vegoil Consumption reached 70%
4.2 Analysis of China Soybean Oil Imports in 2014
4.2.1 China Imports 1.13 Million Tons Soybean Oil in 2014, Holding the Line of Last Year
4.2.2 Import Soybean Oil CIF Keeps the Low Trend in 2014
4.2.3 Main Soybean Oil Importing Enterprises Analysis
4.3 Price in China Soybean Oil Market Continuously Decreased in 2014
 
Part Five: China Soy Meal Supply-Demand and Market Changes in 2014
5.1 Analysis of Animal Husbandry Production in 2014
5.1.1 Hog Slaughter Amount Increased YoY, but Breeding Sow and Hog Inventory Declines
5.1.2 Low Live Pig Price Makes Farming Benefits Loss
5.2 Comparison of Soybean Crushing Quality by Province
5.3 Comparison of Soy Meal Output by Province
5.4 Comparison of Soy Meal Demand by Province
5.5 Analysis of Soy Meal Supply-Demand by Province
5.6 Soy Meal Market Price Continues Falling in 2014
 
Part Six: The Whole Soybean Crushing Industry Suffered Great Loss in 2014
6.1 Soybean Crushing Still Suffered Loss
6.2 Comparison of Soybean Importer in 2014
6.2.1 Enterprises of Imports More Than 1 Million Tons
6.2.2 Enterprises of Increasing Imports More Than 300,000 Million Tons
6.2.3 Enterprises of Decreasing Imports More Than 200,000 Million Tons
6.3 Analysis of Soybean Imports by Main Crusher (Group) in China
6.3.1 Comparison of Soybean Imports by Main Crushing Enterprises
6.3.2 Enterprises with Large Increase on Imported Soybean Crushing
6.3.3 Enterprises with Decline on Imported Soybean Crushing
6.3.4 Comparison of Soybean Imports by Main Crushing Enterprises Group
6.4 Comparison of Import Cost of Major Soybean Crushing Enterprise Groups and Crushing Enterprises in 2014
6.5 Comparison of Imported Soybean Crushing Production Value of Major Soybean Enterprise Groups and Crushing Enterprises in 2014
6.6 Loss Incurred in All Enterprises in Imported Soybean Crushing in 2014
6.7 Comprehensive Comparison of All Business Objectives of Major Soybean Crushing Enterprise Groups and Crushing Enterprises in 2014
 
Part Seven: Forecast on Soybean and Its Products Market in 2015
7.1 China Soybean Imports to Reach 71.5 Million Tons in 2014/2015
7.2 China Soybean Oil Imports to Drop to 1.1 Million Tons in 2014/2015
 
Part Eight: Forecast of Soybean Imports (2020) & Crushing Industry Development Tendency
8.1 Forecast of Hog Farming Industry and its Changes in Demand for Soy Meal in China
8.1.1 Development of Hog Farming Industry
8.1.2 Feed Demand in Different Designated Scale of Hog Farming Methods
8.1.3 Forecast and Changes in Demand for Soy Meal in Hog Farming Industry
8.2 Forecast of Layer Farming Industry and its Changes in Demand for Soy Meal in China
8.2.1 Forecast and Changes in Egg Output
8.2.2 Degree Changes and Forecast of the Large-scale Egg Poultry Farming in China
8.2.3 Forecast and Changes in Demand for Soy Meal in Egg Poultry Farming Industry
8.3 Forecast of Broiler Farming Industry and its Changes in Demand for Soy Meal in China
8.3.1 Changes and Forecast of Meat Poultry Slaughter and Poultry Meat Output
8.3.2 Degree Changes and Forecast of the Large-scale Meat Poultry Farming
8.3.3 Forecast and Changes in Demand for Soy Meal in Meat Poultry Farming Industry
8.4 Forecast and Changes in Demand for Soy Meal in Ruminant and Aquatic Farming Industry in China
8.4.1 Soy Meal Demand in Ruminant Feed
8.4.2 Soy Meal Demand in Aquatic Feed
8.5 Changes and Forecast of Soy Meal and Mixed Meal Demand in China
8.5.1 Changes and Forecast of Total Soy Meal Demand
8.5.2 Changes and Forecast of Mixed Meal Demand
8.6 China’s Soybean Imports to Reach 85 Million to 90 Million MT in 2020
8.7 Development Tendency of Soybean Crushing Industry in China
8.7.1 Main Features at Present
8.7.2 Development Tendency in the Future
 
LIST OF MAPS
Map 1.1, Distribution of China Soybean Production by County
Map 1.2, Crop Planting Structure in Hailun City in 2000
Map 1.3, Crop Planting Structure in Hailun City in 2010
Map 2.1, Distribution of Main Soybean Crushers in China
Map 2.2, Distribution of Soybean Crushers of Yihai Kerry Group
Map 2.3, Distribution of Soybean Crushers of Jiusan Group
Map 2.4, Distribution of Soybean Crushers of COFCO
Map 2.5, Distribution of Soybean Crushers of Chinatex Corporation
Map 2.6, Distribution of Soybean Crushers of Cargill
Map 2.7, Distribution of Soybean Crushers of Noble Group
Map 2.8, Distribution of Soybean Crushers of Bunge
Map 2.9, Distribution of Soybean Crushers of Shandong Bohi Industry Co., Ltd
Map 2.10, Distribution of Soybean Crushers of Dongling Group
Map 2.11, Distribution of Soybean Crushers of Louis Dreyfus
Map 2.12, Distribution of Soybean Crushers of Henan Sunshine Group
Map 2.13, Distribution of Soybean Crushers of Chenxi Group
Map 2.14, Distribution of Soybean Crushers of China Grain Reserves Corporation
 
LIST OF FIGURES
Figure 0, Soybean Supply and Demand Influence Factors in China
Figure 1.1, Changes in Soybean Planting Acreage in China, 1979-2014
Figure 1.2, Changes in Soybean Planting Acreage in Heilongjiang Province, 1979-2014
Figure 1.3, Changes in Soybean Planting Acreage in Inner Mongolia and Jilin, 1979-2014
Figure 1.4, Changes in Soybean Planting Acreage in Shandong, Hebei and Henan, 1979-2014
Figure 2, Comparison of Soybean Crushing Capacity by Province in 2014
Figure 3.1, Changes in China Soybean Imports, 1994-2014
Figure 3.2, China Soybean Import Price (CIF) by Month, 2012-2014
Figure 3.3, Price of Domestic Soybean in Heilongjiang, 2012-2014
Figure 4.1, Changes in Vegoil Output by variety in China, 1991/1992-2014/2015
Figure 4.2, Changes in China Vegoil Imports, 1991/1992-2014/2015
Figure 4.3, Changes in Vegoil Consumption by variety in China, 1991/1992-2014/2015
Figure 4.4, Changes in Proportion of Vegoil Imports in Total Vegoil Consumption in China, 1991/1992-2014/2015
Figure 4.5, Changes in China Soybean Oil Imports, 1992-2014
Figure 4.6, Import Prices of Soybean Oil and Palm Oil, 2012-2014
Figure 4.7, Average Price of Soybean Oil in China, 2012-2014
Figure 5.1, Monthly Changes in Hog Inventory Index, 2005-2014
Figure 5.2, Changes in Piglet Prices in China, 2004-2014
Figure 5.3, Changes in Live Hog Rearing Profits in China, 2010-2014
Figure 5.4, Changes in Soybean Crushing Quality in China, 1997-2014
Figure 5.5, Comparison of Soybean Crushing Quality by Province in 2014
Figure 5.6, Changes in Soy Meal Output in China, 1997-2014
Figure 5.7, Soy Meal Output by Province in 2014
Figure 5.8, Comparison of Soy Meal Demand by Province in 2014
Figure 5.9, Comparison of Soy Meal Supply-Demand by Province in 2014
Figure 5.10, Average Price of Soy Meal in China, 2012-2014
Figure 6.1, Average Crushing Margins of Imported Soybeans, 2012-2014
Figure 6.3, Comparison of Soybean Import Price by main crusher
Figure 8.1, Changes in Live Hog Output in China, 1996-2014
Figure 8.2, Structure of Live Hog Farming Scale in China, 1998-2014
Figure 8.3, Changes in Vegetable Protein Demand in Hog Feed in China, 1996-2014
Figure 8.4, Changes in Pork Output and Forecast in China, 1996-2020
Figure 8.5, Changes in Live Hog Scaled-Farming Level and Forecast in China, 1996-2020
Figure 8.6, Changes in Soy Meal Demand in Hog Feed and Forecast in China, 1996-2020
Figure 8.7, Changes in Poultry Egg Output and Forecast in China, 1996-2020
Figure 8.8, Structure of Layer Farming Scale in China, 1998-2014
Figure 8.9, Changes in Layer Scaled-Farming Level and Forecast in China, 1996-2020
Figure 8.10, Changes in Soy Meal Demand in Egg Poultry Feed and Forecast in China, 1996-2020
Figure 8.11, Changes in Meat Poultry Slaughter in China, 1996-2014
Figure 8.12, Changes in Poultry Meat Output and Forecast in China, 1996-2020
Figure 8.13, Structure of Broiler Farming Scale in China, 1998-2014
Figure 8.14, Changes in Broiler Scaled-Farming Level and Forecast in China, 1996-2020
Figure 8.15, Changes in Soy Meal Demand in Meat Poultry Feed and Forecast in China, 1996-2020
Figure 8.16, Changes in Soy Meal Demand in Ruminant Feed and Forecast in China, 1996-2020
Figure 8.17, Changes in Soy Meal Demand in Aquatic Feed and Forecast in China, 1996-2020
Figure 8.18, Changes in Soy Meal Demand and Forecast in China, 1996-2020
Figure 8.19, Forecast and Changes in Mixed Meal Demand, 1996-2020
 
LIST OF TABLES
Table 1.1, Soybean Output by Province, 2007-2012
Table 2.1, Distribution of Soybean Crushing Enterprise Group in China
Table 2.2, Changes in Soybean Crushing Capacity by Province, 2008-2014
Table 5.1, Changes in Soybean Crushing Quality by Province, 2008-2014
Table 5.2, Changes in Soy Meal Output by Province, 2008-2014
Table 5.3, Changes in Soy Meal Demand by Province, 2008-2014
Table 5.4, Soy Meal Supply-demand Gap in Different Regions, 2008-2014
Table 6.1, Comparison of Soybean Imports by Main Crushing Enterprises, 2010-2014
Table 6.3, Soybean Importer Reduced Import Volume More Than 100,000 Tones in 2014
Table 6.3, Soybean Importer Increased Import Volume More Than 100,000 Tones in 2014
Table 6.4, Comparison of Soybean Imports of Soybean Crushing Enterprise Groups and Soybean Crushing Enterprises, 2010-2014
Table 6.5, Comparison of Import Cost of Major Soybean Crushing Enterprise Groups and Crushing Enterprises in 2014
Table 6.6, Comparison of Production Value of Major Soybean Enterprises, 2010-2014
Table 6.7, Comparison of Profit of Major Soybean Enterprises, 2010-2014
Table 6.8, Comparison of Main Business Objectives of Major Soybean Crushing Enterprise Groups and Crushing Enterprises in 2014
Table 7.1, China Soybean Supply and Demand 
Table 7.2, China Soybean Oil Supply and Demand 
Table 8.1, Feed Use Features of Small-scale Farmer Households in Different Regions
Table 8.2, Feed Use Features of Small-scale Hog Farms in Different Regions
Table 8.3, Feed Use Features of Medium-scale Hog Farms in Different Regions
Table 8.4, Feed Use Features of Large-scale Hog Farms in Different Regions
Table 8.5, Feed Use Features of Hog Farming Scale over 10,000 Heads in Different Regions
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