Estimates of Grain Acreage & Production in 2013

By CnAgri2013-08-20 11:19:50 Print China’s grain price index was RMB2,535/MT in July, up 1.42% over the month before and up 4.28% on the year-on-year basis, adjusted for currency value change.
 
Specifically, the wholesale prices of wheat, rice, corn and barley were RMB2,399/MT, RMB2,741/MT, RMB2,391/MT and RMB1,914/MT respectively in July, up 0.38%, 1.48%, 2.05% and 0.89% respectively over the month before, up 15.23%, up 2.81%, down 0.1% and down 5.38% respectively on the year-on-year basis, adjusted for currency value change.
 
Grain price increase was conducive to grain production. When corn imports exerted a pressure on corn price, the government issued protective procurement price to stabilize corn market.
 
Planted grain acreage and grain production are estimated to be 111.329 million hectares and 595 million MT this year, up 0.06% and 0.9% respectively over last year.
 
Harvested winter wheat acreage was 22.685 million hectares this year, 0.18% more than last year, thanks to the reduction of cotton acreage. Winter wheat yield averaged 4,875kg/hectare, slightly lower than last year. Winter wheat production is 111 million MT, higher than a normal year.
 
Spring wheat acreage, production and yield are estimated to be 1.6 million hectares, 6.69 million MT and 4,177kg/hectare, down 6.51%, down 0.46% but up 6.47% respectively on the year-on-year basis.
 
High-quality wheat production is 69.168 million MT, a slip of 15.04% from last year, attributable to low temperature in spring and excessive rains in the harvest season.
 
Spring-planted corn acreage, production and yield are 24.326 million hectares, 146 million MT and 5,993kg/hectare this year, up 3.86%, 4.25% and 0.38% respectively over last year. Summer-planted corn acreage, production and yield are 12.057 million hectares, 69.76 million MT and 5,786kg/hectare, up 2.15%, 2.73% and 0.57% respectively over last year.
 
Paddy acreage, production and yield are 30.706 million hectares, 206.6 million MT and 6,728kg/hectare this year, up 1.61%, up 1.58% but down 0.03% respectively on the year-on-year basis.
 
Early paddy acreage and production are 5.791 million hectares and 34.241 million MT, up 0.99% and 3.42% respectively on the year-on-year basis.
 
Single-cropping paddy acreage and production are 18.634 million hectares and 135 million MT, up 2.12% and 1.37% respectively on the year-on-year basis.
 
Late paddy acreage and production are 6.281 million hectares and 37.237 million MT, up 0.68% and 0.7% respectively on the year-on-year basis.
 
In terms of paddy variety, japonica acreage and production are estimated to be 10.343 million hectares and 72.21 million MT, up 4.26% and 4.26% respectively on the year-on-year basis. Indica acreage and production are 20.363 million hectares and 134 million MT (0.2% more than last year).
 
Barley acreage, yield and production are estimated to be 6.474 million hectares, 3,220kg/hectare and 2.085 million MT, down 8.14%, 5.64% and 13.32% respectively from last year.

From “China Grains Market Weekly Report”